ag3 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Hottest run of the 4km NAM yet for tomorrow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 The 12z NAM is terrible for any storm chances on Saturday aftrernoon. The 4k NAM has some activity but brings it through between 03 and 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 95/74, HI of 106 in Jamaica, Queens. The heat doesn't bother me at all, however, I feel similarly when people root for teens and lower with highs around freezing, it's miserable to me but the cold doesn't bother them. I enjoy the heat in the summer (hotter the better) and snow in the winter (the more the better). T o each his own and I certainly respect folks who cant stand the heat. As i get older I seem to dislike the extreme cold more but I wont complain if it means snow. But in the summer bring on the heat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 90.8F here, which is the warmest I've been at this time of day during the heat wave. My max thus far was 94.5F yesterday so I should definitely break that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 The 12z NAM is terrible for any storm chances on Saturday aftrernoon. So is the 0z euro. Had almost nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 11am 96 at JFK. This ties the record high, we set only last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Newark HI is 103 at 11am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 91 here already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 94 Here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 So is the 0z euro. Had almost nothing. Think we are in the mid 90s again on Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 18, 2013 Author Share Posted July 18, 2013 The models are forecasting the dewpoints higher tomorrow and a SW flow developing with probably the highest HX values of the season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Think we are in the mid 90s again on Saturday We might even do 90 in some spots on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 We might even do 90 in some spots on Sunday. Yeah. The 0z euro definitelty has 90s for parts of the NYC area for Sunday. Even Monday to Wednesday is above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Yeah. The 0z euro definitelty has 90s for parts of the NYC area for Sunday. Even Monday to Wednesday is above normal. That sounds like a hell of a cool down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 I'm thinking we have a chance at breaking the all time record warmest July. Especially since the cool down has turned into just less extreme above normal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 18, 2013 Author Share Posted July 18, 2013 Yeah. The 0z euro definitelty has 90s for parts of the NYC area for Sunday. Even Monday to Wednesday is above normal. This year the trough axis has been verifying further west. The models have been overestimating cool downs in the long range and underestimating the heat. These long duration patterns that lock in make the job of the long range forecaster much easier than with more changeable patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Yeah. The 0z euro definitelty has 90s for parts of the NYC area for Sunday. Even Monday to Wednesday is above normal. Wouldn't be surprising. I know people thought we'd see some 70s and 50s at night but just doesn't seem likely in this pattern (NW NJ maybe). Maybe one sub 85 day at EWR and a few nights in the upper 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 That sounds like a hell of a cool down! Euro on it's last 3 runs, is hanging the front to our north instead of sweeping it fully across our area. It's a bad trend for people who want this pattern to break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Wouldn't be surprising. I know people thought we'd see some 70s and 50s at night but just doesn't seem likely in this pattern (NW NJ maybe). Maybe one sub 85 day at EWR and a few nights in the upper 60s. I honestly dont see any days below 85 for EWR through day 10 on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Euro on it's last 3 runs, is hanging the front to our north instead of sweeping it fully across our area. It's a bad trend for people who want this pattern to break And now since the front is less potent it hurts our severe chances. King WAR wins again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 The 12z NAM is terrible for any storm chances on Saturday aftrernoon. The 4k NAM has some activity but brings it through between 03 and 06z. Would you rather it show a massive line of storms moving through only to have it not happen for the umpteenth time this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Wouldn't be surprising. I know people thought we'd see some 70s and 50s at night but just doesn't seem likely in this pattern (NW NJ maybe). Maybe one sub 85 day at EWR and a few nights in the upper 60s. So one day of normal temps? Like I've said in the past, if it's not cloudy and raining then 99 times out of 100 it's above normal. And that's compared to the warmest 30 year climate block on record. I cannot stress that enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 So one day of normal temps? Like I've said in the past, if it's not cloudy and raining then 99 times out of 100 it's above normal. And that's compared to the warmest 30 year climate block on record. I cannot stress that enough. ONly clouds and rain from the front will bring below normal which I think could still happen sun or mon. Other than that the warm/humid and overall above normal continues. Temps are more 85 - 90 though so cooler but still warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Starting to see sea breeze coming north over Far Rockaway. JFK might reach their high soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 100/75 heat index of 115, think this will be my high http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=zmw:11414.1.99999&MR=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 ONly clouds and rain from the front will bring below normal which I think could still happen sun or mon. Other than that the warm/humid and overall above normal continues. Temps are more 85 - 90 though so cooler but still warm I do not think we will have below normal temps unless it rains almost all day. If a front gets hung up near or right over us, that could happen. Otherwise, I think we're mostly above normal with periods of way above normal for most of the remainder of the summer. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 12PM TEB: 95 NYC: 94 EWR: 96 LGA: 94 JFK: 97 ISP: 94 N Bnswk: 94 BLM: 94 TTN: 92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 HI's are already exceeding heat advisory criteria, in EHW criteria now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 18, 2013 Author Share Posted July 18, 2013 HI's are already exceeding heat advisory criteria, in EHW criteria now. The wunderground stations are usually too high with the dewpoints compared to the ASOS sensors . http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=kisp http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KNYISLIP3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 The wunderground stations are usually too high with the dewpoints compared to the ASOS sensors . http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=kisp http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KNYISLIP3 I'm not referring to PWS. ASOS stations are exceeding heat advisory criteria. KHWV's HI is at 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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