HM Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 You can name it that, but HM and Adam get the credit, hands down or shovels down. I didn't punt like Adam (you were the one warning us about it coming back yesterday!!!) but I definitely think someone who has kept up with the developing trends should be the "namer". The medium range to long range calls by everyone here have been great, highlighting the active Feb very well. Good job all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS profiles in SJ are pretty good. Both mlv+acy would be almost all snow. BL starts out warm but there is a relatively dry NNE wind. PHL falls well into the 20s during the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I didn't punt like Adam (you were the one warning us about it coming back yesterday!!!) but I definitely think someone who has kept up with the developing trends should be the "namer". The medium range to long range calls by everyone here have been great, highlighting the active Feb very well. Good job all! You saw it first. Plus i want to see some more creative thread titles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 from twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I didn't punt like Adam (you were the one warning us about it coming back yesterday!!!) :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Quite impressive.....MECS possible for Philly as well if the trough axis shifts west again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Looked art some Bufkit Soundings a it's a nice set-up. Could get decent rates if modeling is on the right track. Phl south start out as some rain Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 12z GEFS is really nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 12z GEFS is really nice I need it to shift a little bit more, I might be too far west, who would have thought that. Oh well, at least some positive signs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Not sure how to quote from another thread but... "12z GFS still appears to be focusing on the northern stream s/w. Not seeing improvement in that regard. Could be right idk... but if it is focusing on the wrong one, forecasts will drastically change by what I would think would be tomorrow 12z since the energy in the Gulf of Alaska is coming onshore today and will have been on land long enough to be adequately sampled." Not really surprised with what is happening thus far today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 You saw it first. Plus i want to see some more creative thread titles. I'm not so sure I was the first but who knows...I know a lot of people saw this potential and there have been a lot more adamant people in the last few days warning about it coming back on the modeling than me. :axe: Your medium range call was excellent and the proper warnings were heeded over the last few days. Don't beat yourself up over 1 lousy morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 one more suite with more amplification and this could be fairly substantial... moreso than the blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 one more suite with more amplification and this could be fairly substantial... moreso than the blizzard Agreed. Initially, the AJ wave dropping in forces a close-off over Ontario; but, it drops to New England with the amplifying coastal. If this drop-off can happen sooner, suddenly we are dealing with a major snowstorm/blizzard from PHL-BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Agreed. Initially, the AJ wave dropping in forces a close-off over Ontario; but, it drops to New England with the amplifying coastal. If this drop-off can happen sooner, suddenly we are dealing with a major snowstorm/blizzard from PHL-BOS. the b word euro up next. let's see what it sniffs out if anything at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 so far out through 30 hrs, the trof on the euro looks slightly amplified moreso... the ridge out west is slightly less ampliofied than the gfs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 Ray is checking the flight schedule. Actually, now that you mention it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 hr 36 has lgt precip breaking out through wv,swva and down the apps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 hr 36 has lgt precip breaking out through wv,swva and down the apps... Sounds close the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 hr 42 has .05-.1 from dov to phl to dyl on west...with a little blob of .1-.25 over berks co and western lanc co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 looks like notta on euro. another gfs vs euro battle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 hr 48 has lgt precip over central and northern nj back to dyl and abe.. another little area popping up in ne md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 hr 54 it hits sne decently, but the precip is out of here. should also mention the bl is warm on the euro to, almost like what happened last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 hr 48 has lgt precip over central and northern nj back to dyl and abe.. another little area popping up in ne md Do you see any definitive trends? I can't pull up SV right now for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 yeah surface is warm in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 basically .1-.25 for everyone minus acy south which is less than .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 the trof is sharper though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Do you see any definitive trends? I can't pull up SV right now for some reason. yea the trof is a good bit sharper, the whole flow is bit more amplified. The low gets going faster than 0z. I doesn't have h5 vorticity on here as you know so i can't tell with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 yea the trof is a good bit sharper, the whole flow is bit more amplified. The low gets going faster than 0z. I doesn't have h5 vorticity on here as you know so i can't tell with that Thank you... what's your take? Perhaps late in the game to catch on to recent trends in accordance with the others? 12 for 12 on the GEFS is pretty telling. Something doesn't add up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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