JSantanaNYC Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If the euro ensembles are an indication of whats coming for the 12Z THIS is not done. They look more strong and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 i hear 06 rgem is warm again? true? anyone know what's going on w/ that.. Not in it's range yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I wonder what the 4km NAM, Euro control run, JMA, ARW and RPM show now. I'm surprised eduggs isn't in here analyzing every vorticity advection depicted in the models with earthlight concerning this phaser that will nail his area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I wonder what the 4km NAM, Euro control run, JMA, ARW and RPM show now. COLD snowy. Very good solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 TWC upped their totals to 6-12+ for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 06Z RGEM Total snow through 12Z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 06Z RGEM MSLP valid 12Z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS looking better thru 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Snowing moderately at 42, definite improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS is on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Gfs is colder and looks good. - keeps some of the heavy precip off shore but that can still change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Pretty much all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like 1.25" for the city mostly all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Snow on GFS...7-12", banding doesn't look as heavy.....and it pulls away fast....Boston also looks like only 12-18" on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The 06z gfs is better but still not perfect. Both the gfs and nam may keep adjusting today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 By the way, speaking of the southern stream, tornado warning now for Plaquemines Parish in Louisiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 TWC upped their totals to 6-12+ for the area. they're actually including LI in their 12+ contour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Why isn't anyone mentioning the flooding rains we are going to get before the changeover? Upton is forecasting over an inch of rain during the daylight hours according to those graphical forcast maps. We should get 6+ on the back end, but the rain is significant. We will probably lose a couple of inches to the extremely wet grounds at the onset of the changeover, unless we get a layer of sleet first ala XMAS 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lindy, the Euro and GFS don't show a lot of rain, if any rain at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Why isn't anyone mentioning the flooding rains we are going to get before the changeover? Upton is forecasting over an inch of rain during the daylight hours according to those graphical forcast maps. We should get 6+ on the back end, but the rain is significant. We will probably lose a couple of inches to the extremely wet grounds at the onset of the changeover, unless we get a layer of sleet first ala XMAS 2002. my guess is because the euro and gfs show no such thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 my guess is because the euro and gfs show no such thing Lol, and as far as a wet ground really hurting accumlations, the ground is cold and snow would be rather heavy and would undoubtedly stick rather quickly as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I didn't give up on this and look what's happening. I've seen this quite a number of times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Very nice look http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/DATA/RT/na-wv-loop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I would think he still stands by it, I think the absolute upper limit for NYC in this storm is probably about 8-14 inches or so, obviously that assumes no band like occurred on 2/12/06 or 12/26/10. the EURO's snow map - astounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Why isn't anyone mentioning the flooding rains we are going to get before the changeover? Upton is forecasting over an inch of rain during the daylight hours according to those graphical forcast maps. We should get 6+ on the back end, but the rain is significant. We will probably lose a couple of inches to the extremely wet grounds at the onset of the changeover, unless we get a layer of sleet first ala XMAS 2002. Is this Alan Kasper ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nice run on the 06z 4km NAM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam-hires_area_param.php?model=nam-hires&cycle=20130207+06+UTC&area=namer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nice run on the 06z 4km NAM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam-hires_area_param.php?model=nam-hires&cycle=20130207+06+UTC&area=namer It's trending back to the 18Z run output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Notice that when TWC named this storm "NEMO", it's spelled "OMEN" backwards? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 06z GEFS look a flick west of the op http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/06zgfsensemblep12036.gif http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/06zgfsensemblep12048.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 compared GEFS 00z http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/00zgfsensemblep72084.gif 06z http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/06zgfsensemblep72072.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.