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1/24 to 1/26 threat...


NaoPos

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Final forecast:

attachicon.gif20130125_MAsnowFinal.png

Locally higher totals are possible in the 1-2" contour... not as likely to see locally higher totals within the 2-4" zone.

Hadn't looked at the Mt. Holly forecast before issuing my forecast... good to see that they line up fairly well for the moment.

looks good mark, as always appreciate you posting the maps here.

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fwiw NAM, driest of all models, is verifying too moist with 850's out here.  You're gonna watch that or it may end up being virga city back east too.

 

seeing all models generally nudge drier it wouldn't surprise me if a bunch of us were virga'd on.

 

Over/under on radar hallucinations at 20 today.

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Taking the last 24 hours of model runs into consideration...  I think I will make a modest downward adjustment in my forecast for TTN...  from 1-3 inches to a coating-2 inches.  I can still see them getting over an inch, but the possibility of more than 2 inches now seems very small, while the possibility if less than an inch is considerably larger.  I do think it snows, though.

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Not sure if this affects you guys, but NWS Pitt dropped our forecast from 4-6 last night to 1-2 this morning due to supposed change in speed of the system.  Right now we're also getting a virga storm as the column has not yet saturated.  Pretty much another dud; here's hoping February pans out better.

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A nice band has formed over Ohio. Just a question of how well it holds together.

CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OHIO

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

COLUMBUS SNOW 18 12 79 SE7 30.20S VSB 1/2 WCI 8

OSU AIRPORT SNOW 16 14 92 SE8 30.19S VSB 1/4 WCI 5

BOLTON FIELD SNOW 16 12 86 SE8 30.19F VSB 1/2 WCI 5

RICKENBACK AFB SNOW 19 14 80 E5 30.20F VSB 1/2 WCI 12

NEWARK LGT SNOW 17 12 80 E7 30.19F VSB 3/4 WCI 8

MARION SNOW 16 10 79 SE9 30.17F VSB 1/2 WCI 4

LANCASTER HVY SNOW 16 12 86 SE6 30.20F VSB 1/4 WCI 7

ZANESVILLE LGT SNOW 16 9 74 E8 30.20F VSB 3/4

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