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Climate Change Banter


Jonger
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This:

 

Gisstemp:

 

Sept: .81

Oct: .78

Nov: .64

Dec: .73

Jan: .75

Feb: projected to be .78C

 

 

If Feb comes in at .78C on GISS and March threw December is the same as it was in 2014 then 2015 would end up 0.72C+ on GISS for the year.

 

Mind you this is all happening without even a NINO.

 

hheh yeah for the all the grief he gave me for my predictions, they mostly came to pass.

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I think I'll leave it to illustrate how frequently I come to these fora and how much that other thing hurts.

:wub:

 

Always two sides of the climate coin, but Tacoman was trying to be Harvey Dent in a science forum.

 

As an aside, ending up back in the warmer regimes on the North American side with the ongoing Northern Hemisphere evolution would make 2012 look like a walk in the park.

 

Places like Siberia and Alaska are way farther north than most of us. It also explains why 2012 was a cold year globally and we still managed to torch massively and break heat records.

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Mann was among the team of scientists who established the well-known "hockey stick graph," which reconstructed 1,000 years of global temperature trends and illustrated rapid warming since the industrial age. 

 

http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-hiatus-20150226-story.html

 

 

Claiming to be the author of the "hockey stick graph" is not a good thing or at least it raises a reasonable doubt.

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Mann used PCA techniques that were shown to artificially enhance the hockey stick shape. The first papers questioning the technique was McIntyre and McKitrick in 2005 and since then there have been others. The idea was basically that the PCA technique Mann used created a hockey stick with any random set of data.

Most hockey stick reconstructions now are not as flat with the shaft portion of the stick as Mann's graph was.

This is very old news in terms of climate science though. Most of the newer papers aren't centered on past global temperature reconstructions.

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somewhat OT....but still significant.

 

The sun wakes up finally...releases a X flare.

 

An X2.1 class solar X-ray flare occurred on 2015-Mar-11 with a peak time of 16:22UT. The flare occurred in NOAA AR 2297. (sunspot #)

 

X2-FLARE AND RADIO BLACKOUT: Sunspot AR2297 has just unleashed a strong Earth-directed solar flare (March 11 @ 16:22 UT). Extreme UV radiation from the blast, which measured X2 on the Richter Scale of Flares, is causing HF radio fade-outs and other propagation effects on the dayside of Earth, primarily over the Americas: map. Meanwhile, natural radio emissions from the sun suggest that a CME might be emerging from the blast site at speeds exceeding 1,400 km/s (3.1 million mph).

 

breaking story..

 

kind of interesting as well....many think solar activity and earthquakes have a link...and this just happened to occur 1 minute after the flare :

 

5.4 Mag. Earthquake hit Costa Rica

 

Additional X-flares possible as 2297 is just starting to ramp up and become more earth-facing. 

 

First images :

post-9750-0-94988400-1426096916_thumb.jp

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https://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2015/03/11/entering-the-middle-miocene-co2-likely-to-hit-404-parts-per-million-by-may/

 

 

 

Entering the Middle Miocene — CO2 Likely to Hit 404 Parts Per Million by May

The Pliocene. A period of time 2-5 million years ago hosting carbon dioxide levels ranging from 350 to 405 parts per million and global average temperatures that were 2-3 degrees Celsius hotter than 1880s levels. The great ice sheets of Greenland and West Antarctica were feeble, if they existed at all. And seas were about 25-80 feet higher than today.

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^ yet, why so few amounts of people worry about rapid warming possibilities....baffles me. 

 

not everything goes holly / jolly out to space....like skeptics like to dream / imagine. 

 

and all the junk / different chemicals were pumpin into the atmosphere.  there's absolutely noway to know for certain what can happen next....and what earth's atmospheric threshold is. 

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