wxmeddler Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Major impacts by day 7. Sandy is doing a backwards C track along the east coast :popcorn:It just won't die... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Moves northwest from 144 to 150 but not too much...heaviest precipitation hitting the coast of MD/DE/NC/VA and grazing elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Moves northwest from 144 to 150 but not too much...heaviest precipitation hitting the coast of MD/DE/NC/VA and grazing elsewhere. Hows the winds and pressure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 So now we have a piece of energy over the Great Lakes at 156...the upper level low in relation to Sandy actually drifts east for a time. Very heavy rain for SNJ/MD/DE. But a large 576dm block has formed over Newfoundland which will essentially force Sandy north or maybe even northwest as that Great Lakes energy slides underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Two closed upper level troughs at 546dm at 162 hours...one with the tropical system offshore, and one over the OV. Huge ridge remains over Newfoundland. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 So now we have a piece of energy over the Great Lakes at 156...the upper level low in relation to Sandy actually drifts east for a time. Very heavy rain for SNJ/MD/DE. But a large 576dm block has formed over Newfoundland which will essentially force Sandy north or maybe even northwest as that Great Lakes energy slides underneath. The block is ridiculous. Nowhere to go but the northeast at that point edit: into the northeast states i meant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Near /just south of the 40/70 benchmark at 168 hrs (from the southeast). Wild upper level pattern...with heavy rain having moved through all of the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Lol hr 174 is a keeper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Near /just south of the 40/70 benchmark at 168 hrs (from the southeast). Wild upper level pattern...with heavy rain having moved through all of the Northeast. Big winds or just crap load of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Storm strengthens again as the second piece of energy from the Great Lakes slides underneath and phases into the ULL. It looks like the storm is just south of Montauk at 174...around 950mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 It takes two to tango... just WOW!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Big winds or just crap load of rain? If you have a 950mb low near Montauk you're going to see some strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Nothing like 850 temps of -2 C over Central NJ with heavy precipitation and 850 temps of +8 over Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 If this was january would this be the greatest possible snow fantasy for the NYC area, ever with the storm in the location as depicted on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Storm strengthens again as the second piece of energy from the Great Lakes slides underneath and phases into the ULL. It looks like the storm is just south of Montauk at 174...around 950mb. Was 950.7 at 168 on InstantWxMaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 If this was january would this be the greatest possible snow fantasy for the NYC area, ever with the storm in the location as depicted on the euro? It comes inland on a similar trajectory to Feb 26 2010, if that's what you're asking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Thanks guys for the updates. Curious to see where it goes from LI. Northwest into the Hudson Valley? Whats the pressure as it moves inland? Again thanks for those that can see the Euro come in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Thanks guys for the updates. Curious to see where it goes from LI. Northwest into the Hudson Valley? Whats the pressure as it moves inland? Again thanks for those that can see the Euro come in! It goes due west to about Buffalo at around 980 mb (that's an estimate just glancing at it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Very creepy to see ggem and euro so close to the island but different upper airs arent they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Some GFS Ensembles now catching on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 This run of the EURO crushes Central PA and northern MD with an EPIC EPIC EPIC blizzard. Even Philly, DC, and Baltimore likely see some wet flakes. The snow maps on wunderground show 5"+ totals for CPA each 6-hour interval beginning at 162-168. Totals would be 36-48" in the highest elevations! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Nothing like 850 temps of -2 C over Central NJ with heavy precipitation and 850 temps of +8 over Albany. This is the type of run that makes me wish I hadn't moved out of NE NJ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Very creepy to see ggem and euro so close to the island but different upper airs arent they? Yes your correct, while the GGEM sends in a diving shortwave to "scoop" up Sandy. The European still has that diving shortwave but it's less forceful and only scoops Sandy a little bit. The bizzare/remarkable/ wtf is the euro smoking?/ may I have some of it please? is a area of upper level energy that is more like a cutoff low that gets produced as a storm is forming up in Nunavut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 00z GFS ensemble mean at 156 and 168...what a block...and a rather solid amount of phasers/pseudo-phasers: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 00z GFS ensemble mean at 156 and 168...what a block...and a rather solid amount of phasers/pseudo-phasers: wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Euro ens mean right into sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 EPS Control run of the ECMWF looks pretty much the same as the operational. Food for thought. NAO is already pretty decently negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 It's really impressive to see such good agreement between the Euro and the ensemble mean on a very powerful phasing event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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