IWXwx Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 Is everyone still alive? Just bored to death. We did get some rain today, but looks dry for the next 7 days here. Even temps are just seasonable. We might get backdoored over the weekend to cool things off, then maybe a mini-torch next week. but overall, zzzzzzzzz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 The axis of heavy rain this month has basically been from Southern Illinois through IND and then northeastward to CLE. I'm sure IND is in a similar situation in terms of wettest Septembers on record. Wettest Septembers in Cleveland: 1. 11.05 1996 2. 9.30 1878 3. 9.10 1926 4. 8.30 2011 x. 7.48 2012 5. 7.38 1901 6. 7.33 1990 7. 6.75 1981 8. 6.41 1986 9. 6.37 1945 10. 6.17 1938 This could tick up a bit over the weekend, but 5th place is likely to hold. Also comes on the heels of very wet fall last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 Just outside the top 10 for wettest September on record for Indianapolis. 10.37" in 2003 9.33" in 1926 8.17" in 1896 8.06" in 1989 7.61" in 1996 7.54" in 1921 7.46" in 1895 7.31" in 1890 7.18" in 1932 6.94" in 1879 6.92" in 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 I was sick for the last few days...felt like i was dying. dry dry dry... and lots of sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 Is everyone still alive? Typical benign weather that we usually see in Sep/Oct. Great weather, but pretty uneventful for the enthusiasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 need rain bad...good bet its a dry fall and winter...crisis on our hands up here.. water levels at record lows all across the state. mmm. lots of 70's and mke mentions toasty temps could make an appearance next week..best time of the yr for them. problem is they prob continue all fall and winter with this pos attempt of a nino. better have latitude on your side for at at least the 1st half of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 Today will break the 12 day streak of below normal departures at LAF. Overall for September, through yesterday... 17 days below 7 days above 1 day normal -3.9º departure Well, technically correct as yesterday was exactly normal. Rain/clouds kept max temps in check...high/low of 67/57 yesterday at LAF. 0.47" 0.70" at IND this morning through 7:00am 8:00am, which currently places this September as the 8th 6th wettest on record. 10.37" in 2003 9.33" in 1926 8.17" in 1896 8.06" in 1989 7.61" in 1996 7.58" in 2012 7.54" in 1921 7.46" in 1895 7.31" in 1890 7.18" in 1932 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 It was frosty around sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 No frost here, but it was 41°. About 5° lower than forecast. Now it's mainly overcast and in the upper 50s. Typical fall day. Month is running about -0.7°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 60°/41° for today with lake clouds almost all day. Reminded me of fall weather later in the season. Month might end up close to -1° at this cool pace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Gonna be the second September in a row to finish with a negative departure at the LAF. September 2011 Mean temp: 64.4º (-1.8º) Max temps 90º and above: 3 Max temps 80-89º: 3 Max temps 70-79º: 12 Max temps 60-69º: 11 Max temps 59º and below: 1 Min temps 70º and above: 2 Min temps 60-69º: 4 Min temps 50-59º: 19 Min temps 40-49º: 5 Min temps 39º or below: 0 September 2012 (stats through the 26th) Mean temp: 63.2º (-3.8º) Max temps 90º and above: 0 Max temps 80-89º: 5 Max temps 70-79º: 14 Max temps 60-69º: 6 Max temps 59º and below: 1 Min temps 70º and above: 3 Min temps 60-69º: 5 Min temps 50-59º: 8 Min temps 40-49º: 6 Min temps 39º and below: 4 Will update at the end of this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Amazing that in this warm year we had 3 months at or below normal so far out of 9. April, August and September. The chances at a record year have to be out the window now. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Down to 36F...mornings have really been chilly ...temp showing 76F today, so quite a warm up in store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Temperature under performed today - high 64°. Low 49°...so far at least. Month to date is down to -1.01°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entropy Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Amazing that in this warm year we had 3 months at or below normal so far out of 9. April, August and September. The chances at a record year have to be out the window now. Jon Not exactly. I have data back to 1870 for Detroit, and this is the warmest year on record (January through September) on record by nearly a full degree. I estimated September to finish at 64.0F at DTW. Data for all months is from the NWS DTX Climate Page: http://www.crh.noaa....p?n=decadetable. It was also the warmest on January to August period on record at Flint (beginning in 1893) and Saginaw (beginning in 1900), but I haven't updated through September for those locations yet. Warmest January to September periods on record at Detroit: 2012 57.4 1998 56.5 1921 56.5 2010 55.5 1991 55.4 2006 55.2 1955 55.1 2002 54.9 1933 54.9 1987 54.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entropy Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Not exactly. I have data back to 1870 for Detroit, and this is the warmest year on record (January through September) on record by nearly a full degree. I estimated September to finish at 64.0F at DTW. Data for all months is from the NWS DTX Climate Page: http://www.crh.noaa....p?n=decadetable. It was also the warmest on January to August period on record at Flint (beginning in 1893) and Saginaw (beginning in 1900), but I haven't updated through September for those locations yet. Top 5 Warmest January to September periods on record at Detroit: 2012 57.4 1998 56.5 1921 56.5 2010 55.5 1991 55.4 Here is Flint (estimated 61.6F for September). The data is for the airport and co-op back to 1893, and other data from Genessee County back to 1888. Top 5 Warmest January to September periods on record at Flint: 2012 55.2 1933 55.1 1921 54.9 1998 53.9 1931 53.8 And Saginaw. Not much trend here, but still 2012 is the warmest on record. Missing data from the cooler 19th century. Top 5 Warmest January to September periods on record at Saginaw: 2012 54.8 1998 54.6 1921 54.5 1933 53.8 1931 53.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Here is Flint (estimated 61.6F for September). The data is for the airport and co-op back to 1893, and other data from Genessee County back to 1888. Top 5 Warmest January to September periods on record at Flint: 2012 55.2 1933 55.1 1921 54.9 1998 53.9 1931 53.3 September will drop both of those locations below first.... October looks below ad well... That's why its a 1 year period and not 8 months. Edit: Wouldn't the colder upcoming months drop that down by aggregation. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entropy Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 September will drop both of those locations below first.... October looks below ad well... That's why its a 1 year period and not 8 months. Jon This includes September. I used the monthly mean temperature through today, along with the NWS forecast high and low for tomorrow and Sunday. The estimate for September won't be more than about +/- 0.2F off, and the effect on the year-to-date would be minimal if any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entropy Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 September will drop both of those locations below first.... October looks below ad well... That's why its a 1 year period and not 8 months. Edit: Wouldn't the colder upcoming months drop that down by aggregation. Jon This data is for January through September only (meaning it's the warmest first 9 months of each year). So the colder months would not affect this analysis. The numbers come from the NWS DTX website. I exported them into an Excel file, so I could easily create graphs for specific months and multiple month periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 This data is for January through September only (meaning it's the warmest first 9 months of each year). So the colder months would not affect this analysis. The numbers come from the NWS DTX website. I exported them into an Excel file, so I could easily create graphs for specific months and multiple month periods. Gotcha.... The last two months probably tempered down a way above average year.... Next month will drop it below first in both location, but this year will obviously be above normal. It just will be less then record breaking. March really did some damage. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Gotcha.... The last two months probably tempered down a way above average year.... Next month will drop it below first in both location, but this year will obviously be above normal. It just will be less then record breaking. March really did some damage. Jon Better hope we don't get a torchy Nov or Dec. 50s in Dec can do some serious damage as well. March screwed this entire year. Almost comical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Better hope we don't get a torchy Nov or Dec. 50s in Dec can do some serious damage as well. March screwed this entire year. Almost comical. +14 degrees in one month can do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 +14 degrees in one month can do that. Incredibly it was over +16 for the month in Madison, Wisconsin. Just as incredibly the high there was 28F on March 4th and 82F on March 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Made it down to 36 here this morning. Saw some frost out in the country on the way to work. Only 1.64" of rain for the month, and that should be it for Sep. Normal is about 3". MLI is now about 10" down for 2012. Most of that was from the extreme dry spell from June through August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Incredibly it was over +16 for the month in Madison, Wisconsin. Just as incredibly the high there was 28F on March 4th and 82F on March 15th. Here is March 3rd in Gaylord Michigan... 2 weeks later it was 82 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Here is March 3rd in Gaylord Michigan... 2 weeks later it was 82 degrees. Crazy month that was. How long did it take those snow piles to melt? Just between the 5th and 6th here, it went from 31°/12° to 65°/29°. +13.4° for the month. Edit: Back to this month. Looking at probably lower 40s tonight. Down to 46° now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Gonna be a perfect morning on the piers. a nice warm low 50's from mke to ugn and a westerly wind to add to the perfection.. The stage is set for a beautiful weekend for the Burnout Bash fishing tournament. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Gonna be a perfect morning on the piers. a nice warm low 50's from mke to ugn and a westerly wind to add to the perfection.. The stage is set for a beautiful weekend for the Burnout Bash fishing tournament. Good luck! I'm going to hit the local reservoir. The slab crappies should be coming shallow and turning on with the cooling water temps. Starting out in the mid 40's and almost calm here. It's gonna be a cool start, but WAA should bump it up nicely into the lower 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Calm and in the upper 40s this morning here with some high clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 29, 2012 Share Posted September 29, 2012 Def one of the longest stretches I can remember without any pops in my point...nothing. still haven' turned on the furnace...shooting for November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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