powderfreak Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Hmm..... well either way Kev said he wouldn't get below the middle 30s either two days ago, so.... He may not... I know that my extended family which farms up in North Woodstock, CT to his NE rarely has true frosts. They are up on a hill at just over 800ft and while there's a lot of frosts just a few hundred feet down the road in the 400-600ft elevation range, they usually have to have a NW flow freeze to get down to 32F or below. Its very hard to decouple up on those hills. Meanwhile if you are in northern ORH county you can be at high elevation but still surrounded by higher terrain allowing you to decouple. Or even in more generally flat terrain up at high elevation...not a rolling hill-top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 there are signals for a much more meaningful warm departure evolving beyond D7, however well illustrated in the synoptic charts or not. we'll see how it it emerges... We are losing the maridional bias and trending toward lower N-S oriented amplitude; the type of flow correlates very highly to eventual strengthening of subtropical ridges. after that interval of flattening ...which is really signaled unilaterally around the hemisphere (possible implication being a meaningful Rosby repositioning), the PNA is scheduled to rise - but at some 14 days out, that could evaporate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 He may not... I know that my extended family which farms up in North Woodstock, CT to his NE rarely has true frosts. They are up on a hill at just over 800ft and while there's a lot of frosts just a few hundred feet down the road in the 400-600ft elevation range, they usually have to have a NW flow freeze to get down to 32F or below. Its very hard to decouple up on those hills. Meanwhile if you are in northern ORH county you can be at high elevation but still surrounded by higher terrain allowing you to decouple. Or even in more generally flat terrain up at high elevation...not a rolling hill-top. Couldn't have said it better myself. It's a rare occurrence that we get frosty conditions here on the hilltop. And never, ever in the fall or spring..Just freezing conditions..like you said on NW CAA. It'll likely get into the 37-38 degree range tonight..Sat morning looks colder. No need for frost adv tonight anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Sct shwrs that hit 10% of the population does not make it unsettled. Sorry Ginx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 american models looking to finally be putting there pathetic tails between there legs and following the king for this weekend, suppression sensation, hopefully we can be sunny, even with cold 850s with sun this time of year should be around 60 in the cp. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Tomorrow may be interesting. The GFS is screwing area of SNE with little precip with all the precip either south due to convection, or north due to QG forcing. I can't argue with that, but hopefully we can get some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 american models looking to finally be putting there pathetic tails between there legs and following the king for this weekend, suppression sensation, hopefully we can be sunny, even with cold 850s with sun this time of year should be around 60 in the cp. Fingers crossed. The king wasn't any better. IMO it did worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Ensembles FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Couldn't have said it better myself. It's a rare occurrence that we get frosty conditions here on the hilltop. And never, ever in the fall or spring..Just freezing conditions..like you said on NW CAA. It'll likely get into the 37-38 degree range tonight..Sat morning looks colder. No need for frost adv tonight anywhere. Agree on no frost adv needed but the flow seems light Sunday morning as CAA wanes. I think valleys will be near 30 while kev may be 33-35. Still frosty or sure. Idk if you'll get below 32, but I do think it'll be colder than you initially out looked earlier this week. You may not have 'frost' but it'll be much colder than you out looked with -6c at 850. Only so warm you can be. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Frost advisory is not for widespread frost, but for patchy frost in said locations. This isn't a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Tomorrow may be interesting. The GFS is screwing area of SNE with little precip with all the precip either south due to convection, or north due to QG forcing. I can't argue with that, but hopefully we can get some rain. D B D? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 D B D? Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 The king wasn't any better. IMO it did worse. nam and goofus had snow around here at the 6 and 12z runs, wasn't the king in the carolinas today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Sct shwrs that hit 10% of the population does not make it unsettled. Sorry Ginx. In a Wizardly voice. Scoooooterrrrrr....dryyyyy begeettttss drrryyy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 nam and goofus had snow around here at the 6 and 12z runs, wasn't the king in the carolinas today? 12z GFS was pretty dry for you. I was referring to yesterday and last night. I guess if you lived in NJ you would care since it was rain vs no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 In a Wizardly voice. Scoooooterrrrrr....dryyyyy begeettttss drrryyy With curtains flapping back and forth like on the Wizard of Oz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 12z GFS was pretty dry for you. I was referring to yesterday and last night. I guess if you lived in NJ you would care since it was rain vs no rain. no bookend bonanza? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 no bookend bonanza? Well it was pretty close with this last big storm. A few hundred miles east and Kevin would have had no power again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Congrats to stations up to -5 in the past 2 days. KBOS still on the + thanks to UHI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Well it was pretty close with this last big storm. A few hundred miles east and Kevin would have had no power again. That was an interesting storm, purely elevational in the end despite many forecasts. Seemed there were just not enough dynamics, and the storm was a bit too progressive to really get a good deform band going. Having said that the highest hilltops were pasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Congrats to stations up to -5 in the past 2 days. KBOS still on the + thanks to UHI. Looks like BOS around +5 for the month or so when all is said and done? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 With curtains flapping back and forth like on the Wizard of Oz. Tequila Barry riding in the sidecar on the motorbike with the Sultan..cackling wildly..tall ,pointy hat with string chin strap like on a birthday hat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Tequila Barry riding in the sidecar on the motorbike with the Sultan..cackling wildly..tall ,pointy hat with string chin strap like on a birthday hat HAHA, then side cart breaks off and flys into woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Looks like BOS around +5 for the month or so when all is said and done? Surely will be a mild month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I was at 30F this morning I went out to mow the lawn at lunch (1:00p.m.). The rain started and the 'balmy' 47* dropped to 40.7. What a misearably cold time it was. The torch continues. Just checked my station history--there's the drop when I was mowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Frost advisory is not for widespread frost, but for patchy frost in said locations. This isn't a big deal. Guess it's a little more widespread for those under a freeze warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Guess it's a little more widespread for those under a freeze warning. Well that's a little different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I went out to mow the lawn at lunch (1:00p.m.). The rain started and the 'balmy' 47* dropped to 40.7. What a misearably cold time it was. The torch continues. It does Mike, its actually quite incredible how warm its been over the last 14 months but of course especially the last 6 with seasonal, daily, and monthly records falling by the wayside. Looks like this endless torch maybe recharging for another run in the next 7-10 days.......the warmth over interior new england last fall this winter and especially march is just jaw dropping stuff. Hope all is well, I was in Westport today at a couple properties and always think about you, I have only been to one GTG but hopefully I can get to some this summer, especially if we can get something outside of the bos>orh area. Take it easy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Well that's a little different. I know--just having fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 He may not... I know that my extended family which farms up in North Woodstock, CT to his NE rarely has true frosts. They are up on a hill at just over 800ft and while there's a lot of frosts just a few hundred feet down the road in the 400-600ft elevation range, they usually have to have a NW flow freeze to get down to 32F or below. Its very hard to decouple up on those hills. Meanwhile if you are in northern ORH county you can be at high elevation but still surrounded by higher terrain allowing you to decouple. Or even in more generally flat terrain up at high elevation...not a rolling hill-top. Yeah, i have some hills around me but pretty flat for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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