MillzPirate Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Bristow....it did? Looked warm to me, and rainy, with the "nice" portion of it for interior PA etc. Not that I am bumming, the overnight discussions of the Euro/GFS/Ukie etc. were great to wake up to. ?? It's in the 20s for a good portion of the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Hmmmm, maybe I was looking at a previous run and need to clear my cache. Oops, that was it. My bad all, ignore the tired person. Yes, that was a nice run in terms of consistency from the overnite runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Looks like we now have some consistency across the board. From quick glances it seems that the GFS and Euro are in some agreement. I'd feel alot better if the 84 NAM was on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Looks like we now have some consistency across the board. From quick glances it seems that the GFS and Euro are in some agreement. I'd feel alot better if the 84 NAM was on board. I like the fact that ALL the models are basically within 50-100 miles of each other and resemble the ensembles. Makes me think large swings are less likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The relevant discussion from lwx: .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... HIPRES BUILDS IN FRI...PASSING OVHD FRI NGT AND OFFSHORE SAT. DESPITE CAA...DWNSLPG FLOW AND SUNNY SKIES WILL KEEP TEMPS ABV NRML THRU SAT. MAXIMA SHUD REACH U40S-M50S AND MINIMA FCST TO RNG FROM U20S-M30S. SFC LOPRES ASSOCIATED WITH UPR TROF IN SUBTROPICAL JET WILL MOVE FROM DEEP SOUTH SAT INTO SRN PORTIONS OF MID-ATLC SAT NGT. THIS SYSTEM IS THEN FCST TO MOVE N/E OFF MID-ATLC COAST ON SUN. 0Z GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT IN FCSTG CYCLONE TO INTERACT WITH NRN STREAM SHRTWV TROF...CREATING A STRONGER LOPRES WITH A TRACK FARTHER N...CLOSER TO CWA. THIS WARRANTS INCRG POPS TO HIGH CHC/LOW LIKELY ACRS RGN SAT NGT/SUN...WITH GREATEST POPS ACRS SRN ZONES. VERTICAL THICKNESSES/H8 TEMPS LOOK COLD ENUF TO SUPPORT SNOW ...BUT SFC/LLVL TEMPS APPEAR RELATIVELY WARM UNLESS SIGNIFICANT DYNAMICAL COOLG OCCURS. KEPT PTYPE RN/SN MIX FOR MOST OF CWA...WITH MOSTLY SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND MAINLY RAIN E OF I-95. UNCERTAINTY IS STILL HIGH IN WKEND FCST...BUT ACCUMULATING SNOW DOES APPEAR PSBL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Wow, just looked at the 06Z GFS. Way colder than 0Z and wetter too. Please let this hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Wow, just looked at the 06Z GFS. Way colder than 0Z and wetter too. Please let this hold. ya' beat me by a minute for this year, it's d@mn cold EDIT: forgot to add, we even have some breathing room for that inevitable last minute north drift/shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/32727-weekend-storm-discussion-part-ii-218-219/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.