OSUmetstud Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 That Euro closed low etc. wouldn't be any good for LES around next Tues-Thur? unless you're into NNW flow I don't think it looks that good. The more broad trough energy hanging further west was better for everyone imo. WSW winds...west wind...wnw winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 I'm with you on October snows. Measurable snow at BOS prior to 11/1 does not correlate well. For the 5 times there has been measurable snow at BOS, all 5 have been below normal snow years. Most just a bit below but below nonetheless. 1979-80 was an unmitigated dead ratter with 12.7. Plus we've never had anything on that level either. That was a monster. You and I both have been around these parts a reasonable amount of time and my fuzzy recollection tends to lean towards early cold/snow not good. Thing is it wasn't that cold..it just snowed so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 GFS (12Z/30) suggests another run at 60 Sunday. On and on and on and on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 2nd half December warmth if the EC ensembles are right. Hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 unless you're into NNW flow I don't think it looks that good. The more broad trough energy hanging further west was better for everyone imo. WSW winds...west wind...wnw winds. i think reality is closer to that...but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Never a good sign when I'm one of the most optimistic people around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 GFS (12Z/30) suggests another run at 60 Sunday. On and on and on and on.... Could be another impressive torch later sat sun and monday before another cool shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 The BGM and ITH guys should like it then I guess.... yeah I certainly need WNW for my modest bouts of LES. unless you're into NNW flow I don't think it looks that good. The more broad trough energy hanging further west was better for everyone imo. WSW winds...west wind...wnw winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Scott's comments on the Euro long term...yikes. People will be opening up their summer homes and putting the boats back in soon. GFS is digging the energy further west this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 You know things are bad when the focus in a sne thread shifts to ULL induced, modest LES potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 I still say the squirrels are right and even if we wait till January we end up with a great snow winter. Otherwise, I'm on a personal SNE squirrel assasination mission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 I still say the squirrels are right and even if we wait till January we end up with a great snow winter. Otherwise, I'm on a personal SNE squirrel assasination mission. Squirrels are fat because they have been eating people's gardens through November...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 2nd half December warmth if the EC ensembles are right. Hope not. do they just level that atlantic ridge after day 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 I still say the squirrels are right and even if we wait till January we end up with a great snow winter. Otherwise, I'm on a personal SNE squirrel assasination mission. If we did a verification the squirrels probably outperform the GFS most of the time. Everything else does too. I like what I'm seeing so far on the 12z GFS for the 6th-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Squirrels are fat because they have been eating people's gardens through November...lol. Certainly plenty of greens around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 If we did a verification the squirrels probably outperform the GFS most of the time. Everything else does too. I like what I'm seeing so far on the 12z GFS for the 6th-ish. Maybe we can salavage a Simard Slammer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 do they just level that atlantic ridge after day 10? Yeah that ridge flattens out and so does the Pacific ridge. That's defintely not a good thing. Up until the last 48 hours the pattern hasn't looked bad and showed signs of improvement, but the last few runs have gotten worse. We should probably see how the trends look in the next 48 hrs or so, but as shown right now...the middle of the month gets ugly again....and it wasn't pretty to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Sunday/Monday torch. Looks like Tuesday won't be that much cooler and we wait till 12/7 for maybe a glancing blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 If we did a verification the squirrels probably outperform the GFS most of the time. Everything else does too. I like what I'm seeing so far on the 12z GFS for the 6th-ish. But do we get the front thru here before the bulk of the moisture has already gone by is the question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 The "Simard Slammer" may occur the night of 12/7 as another cold shot gets ready to pounce...might finally be the real deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Squirrels are fat because they have been eating people's gardens through November...lol. I thought of that a couple of days ago. They're wired to eat when light is low and weather is warm. So they're just piling it down like Dom Deluise thinking it's going to get cold at any moment. GFS much less promising as it goes forward. ENSembles FTW, us FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 this gfs run is like re-living the current week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Actually it perked up nicely after 129. Potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 This Gfs run sucks unless you like a inland runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Sunday/Monday torch. Looks like Tuesday won't be that much cooler and we wait till 12/7 for maybe a glancing blow. Another "cold outbreak" possibly muted into normal, just look at the front get hung up as low after low cuts and the se ridge flexes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 We're all in this together: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Actually it perked up nicely after 129. Potential. H5 looks great........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 We're all in this together: :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Very transient as you can see the trough already lifting out on the back side and heights lowering on the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Wow this pattern is simply mocking all of us...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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