Wmsptwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 5:1 ratios = 3 to 3.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 It is going to lay. You trying to convince him, or yourself? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 No reason to freak out yet. Precip is arriving, or will be shortly. There are models with better resolution and optimized for short range forecasts like the RUC we should be looking at. RUC is showing at least 5 hours straight of at least 0.1" of precip per hour at UNV. I'm looking forward to tomorrow's snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 You trying to convince him, or yourself? lol It is going to lay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 0.7" of precip (~7" of snow) is advisory amounts? O... kay. EDIT: Ya, no, precip rates are still 1" per hour for several hours. It's not going to be "white rain", sorry. Let me explain Wmsptwx to you since you are new. He's a teenager who gets really emotional sometimes and makes silly posts but cool. He'll be okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 If it lays in W-B I'll personally come to your house and shake your hand. I'll see you here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Let me explain Wmsptwx to you since you are new. He's a teenager who gets really emotional sometimes and makes silly posts but cool. He'll be okay. Well I'm going to sleep. I'm looking forward to the snow tomorrow. Goodnight all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL..jamie you do know me...but now I'm embarrassed to admit I'm a senior in college haha. I'll wait and see what happens, either way it's just October. Congrats to the Cards btw great series! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 If it lays in W-B I'll personally come to your house and shake your hand. It is going to lay. Uh oh - "lay" means even a quarter inch. This could get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Uh oh - "lay" means even a quarter inch. This could get interesting. I should clarify...like during the day. Lighter precip rates in the valley won't allow for accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 LOL..jamie you do know me...but now I'm embarrassed to admit I'm a senior in college haha. I'll wait and see what happens, either way it's just October. Congrats to the Cards btw great series! **** that's right, you're 21 right? I am kind of annoyed at the Cards winning. Wanted Texas. I kind of can't get over we are even talking about this stuff in October. been sprinkling here for about a half hour, and currently 39.7. Temp holding steady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Uh oh - "lay" means even a quarter inch. This could get interesting. I know that was a silly bet. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I should clarify...like during the day. Lighter precip rates in the valley won't allow for accumulation. One thing that would help if it snows in the morning enough to accumulate. Snow on snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I know that was a silly bet. lol. LOL...I think you got him man...at some point it will cover the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 **** that's right, you're 21 right? I am kind of annoyed at the Cards winning. Wanted Texas. I kind of can't get over we are even talking about this stuff in October. been sprinkling here for about a half hour, and currently 39.7. Temp holding steady. Yeah, I agree. Ron Washington is a great personality for baseball, and would have been nice to see him take it. Now it's the no baseball depression zone until April!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 RUC has 8+hrs of .1"+ here per hr. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Meso for heavy heavy snow. EARLY-SEASON HEAVY SNOW...WITH RATES OF 1 TO LOCALLY 2 IN/HR...WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD NNEWD AFTER 09Z...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 IN/HR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGHOUT THE DISCUSSION AREA. HOWEVER...THE MOST FAVORABLE JUXTAPOSITION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FORCING MECHANISMS COULD SUPPORT LOCALLY HIGHER RATES /POSSIBLY UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR/ WITHIN 35 MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM STAUNTON VA TO HAGERSTOWN MD TO HARRISBURG PA. ALSO IN THIS AREA...NAM/GFS CROSS SECTIONS OF THETA-E AND GEOSTROPHIC MOMENTUM SUGGEST CONDITIONAL SYMMETRIC INSTABILITY DEVELOPING IN THE MID LEVELS TOWARD 12Z...COINCIDENT WITH SLANTWISE CAPE INCREASING TO 150-200 J/KG PER EXPERIMENTAL NAM OUTPUT. THIS WILL FAVOR WSW-ENE-ORIENTED HEAVY SNOW BANDS...AND AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE HEAVY SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...WITH RATES TAPERING OFF FROM SSW TO NNE AFTER 18Z. FOR LOCATIONS FARTHER EAST /INCLUDING AREAS FROM BALTIMORE TO THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA/...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT WARMER THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL BE LESS CONDUCIVE FOR HEAVY SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Run this this for a look at he model they are basing the Meso off of. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/lwx_nmm4n/hover.php?fld=wrf_reflectivity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Some light rain has just started here in State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Some light rain has just started here in State College. same here temp 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Just light rain here 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'm in Altoona and it after some initial drizzle/light rain for a good part of the evening it has now started to snow within the last hour. Will be home soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Some light rain has just started here in State College. same here temp 37 And it's 40.9 here...just... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Both KFIG and KAOO are now reporting light snow as of 1:31 am edt obs. Vis is 5 miles at both locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I just wanted to add, don't be surprised if snow does have a hard time accumulating at first. The storm on Thursday barely accumulated up here and I'm elevated at about 1500ft and we had some good rates. I'm not saying you guys won't get snow to stick but I'd be very surprised if snowfall depths of 7 or 8" is accomplished in the valley areas. I'd love to be wrong so keep me posted. Good luck to you guys below 1000ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Overcast and 42F in Wormleysburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I just wanted to add, don't be surprised if snow does have a hard time accumulating at first. The storm on sunday barely accumulated up here and I'm elevated at about 1500ft and we had some good rates. I'm not saying you guys won't get snow to stick but I'd be very surprised if snowfall depths of 7 or 8" is accomplished. I'd love to be wrong so keep me posted. Good luck to you guys below 1000ft True!! It may be very rough for snow to accumulate. I remember April snowfalls...a lot of heavy/mod snow only to pile up 3 to 4 in the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Both KFIG and KAOO are now reporting light snow as of 1:31 am edt obs. Vis is 5 miles at both locations. flakes are starting to mix in but def. not all snow yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 38 and drizzle/light rain. Temps will really fall off in the next 2-4hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I smell some convective feedback on that run. Has more QPF from FL to way out in the ocean. Its not convective feedback if there is actually very deep convection occurring... wich is what we are seeing in Florida currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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