Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 lets see if it follows the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Since Mildo made a new model thread -- I would argue the ridge in the Western Plains is a bit more pronounced on the 12z GFS then it was on the 12z NAM at 42 hrs on the h5. Is that correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 hr 57 gfs so far stronger with the shortwve, 1008 low in eastern col Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Since Mildo made a new model thread -- I would argue the ridge in the Western Plains is a bit more pronounced on the 12z GFS then it was on the 12z NAM at 42 hrs on the h5. Is that correct? Individual height lines at the peak of the ridge do appear a bit farther north on the GFS, with the exception of the 540 line, which is a little farther south. Ridge axis seems titled a bit farther east as well on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Since Mildo made a new model thread -- I would argue the ridge in the Western Plains is a bit more pronounced on the 12z GFS then it was on the 12z NAM at 42 hrs on the h5. Is that correct? I can't tell but from the 48 hr foreast it looks to me like it is still going to keep its more sheared look than the nam or euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 im not sure why we dont still have model threads in the main forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Tombo is racing faster out to hr 66, def stronger with the shortwave so far, looks like its digging a little better to, you can see it on the back side of the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 im not sure why we dont still have model threads in the main forum. Too much IMBY/regional posting within the threads? I've noticed that, on top of the synoptic discussion, there's embedded regional stuff in there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 im not sure why we dont still have model threads in the main forum. Yeah, we need to change that. People from other regions have to go to certain other regions to get information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Too much IMBY/regional posting within the threads? I've noticed that, on top of the synoptic discussion, there's embedded regional stuff in there as well. i guess... it's just some good posters are in other regions and i dont want to read 6 12z gfs threads... and model watching is more interconnected than a lot ot things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Well, it's def better with the s/w, but not going to be like the NAM yeah, vs the 6z and 0z runs, the GFS is definitely better with the S/W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 i guess... it's just some good posters are in other regions and i dont want to read 6 12z gfs threads... and model watching is more interconnected than a lot ot things Yep..just posted pretty much the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 looks good for the first flakes of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Good to see the GFS make a few model runs in a row to trend to a more snow-favorable solution. Still not there for the 4/5th, but getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 storm #2 further north at 500 out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Typical difference between the GFS and NAM. GFS is so progressive it more or less obliterates the clipper. The good news is that it seems to be getting a bit higher in the QPF outputs, as well as not entirely shearing it out. I think one can safely forecast some light snow potential in VA at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Yeah, we need to change that. People from other regions have to go to certain other regions to get information. Yeah, agree! Rather aggravating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Who left the freezer door open at 138? -15c 850s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 oh yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Lake effect and upslope areas are going to CLEAN UP next week. Get out the yardstick... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 oh yoda Yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Lake effect and upslope areas are going to CLEAN UP next week. Get out the yardstick... I like the way you are talking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Lake effect and upslope areas are going to CLEAN UP next week. Get out the yardstick... Oh? what day(s)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 A couple steps forward on the GFS at 6Z ... one back at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 174hr panel has a strong vortmax pass overhead of us. No surface reflection, but perhaps could generate some flurries? Teens for lows in the burbs next week with 20s downtown I'd expect if this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Oh? what day(s)? Repeat of - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Oh? what day(s)? Would need to get more detailed looks...all I'm looking at is the 4-panel charts on NCEP. But it looks like favorable wind fetches off Erie all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Only 11 days away http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_252.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 12z GGEM at 48 B&W http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/611_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Whole GFS run certainly looks cold. Just unfortunately dry and cold for those of us east of the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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