CooL Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 DCA: +2.8 NYC: +0.5 BOS: -1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 DCA: +1.8 NYC: +1.2 BOS: +0.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 DCA: +1.7 NYC: +1.6 BOS: +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 DCA: +1.0° NYC: +0.3° BOS: -0.2° Total: +1.1° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 BOS: +1.2 NYC: +1.2 DCA: +1.3 not buying the typical Nina gradient this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 DCA: +0.5 NYC: +0.3 BOS: +0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 DCA: -1.5 NYC: -2.5 BOS: -2.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 1, 2011 Author Share Posted April 1, 2011 April forecasts (assuming there are no more late guesses, which I can always add up to three days late) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 DCA: 0.8 NYC: -0.4 BOS: -1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Seems like a general consensus for about +1 (not the average, but most forecasts are right around that mark) or so. Today will start all stations below, but 4/2 and 4/3 look about normal, low 50s at BOS, mid 50s at NYC, and near 60 at DCA, with average lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 1, 2011 Author Share Posted April 1, 2011 DCA: 0.8 NYC: -0.4 BOS: -1.0 Added. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 29, 2011 Share Posted April 29, 2011 Through the 28th... not going to be much change from here. DCA: +2.9 NYC: +1.7 BOS: +1.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted April 30, 2011 Share Posted April 30, 2011 should end up around DCA: +2.7 NYC: +1.7 BOS: +1.8 it was ~ +15 in BOS today b/c they were 75/58 with the front coming through later I don't know who won but few people expected such a toasty April... it looks like LEK, Inudaw and Rodney all made out pretty well with the warmest guesses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 30, 2011 Share Posted April 30, 2011 I don't know who won but few people expected such a toasty April... it looks like LEK, Inudaw and Rodney all made out pretty well with the warmest guesses. And our very own Metfan/Snow88... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 Final: DCA: +2.7 NYC and BOS +1.8 Congrats Rodney! Nice rebound! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 Final: DCA: +2.7 NYC and BOS +1.8 Congrats Rodney! Nice rebound! Thanks, the darts landed in the right spots this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 lol congrats RodneyS XD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Lol at the three of us!! Can you tell who had a good month?? You didn't hear a peep from me last month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 dfafdaffdad Come on Mallow....I moved up like a gazillion spots!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 Mallow??......M-a-l-l-o-w? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted May 6, 2011 Author Share Posted May 6, 2011 Sorry, I've been busy moving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted May 6, 2011 Author Share Posted May 6, 2011 April results: Congrats to RodneyS for taking the month! Also, blazes, metallic, and yoda would all have scored 33% higher if they had gotten their forecasts in on time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Just in case anybody is interested I've been keeping track of who submitted late and how many points they lost because of it. Here's the list of how many points you lost and what your score would be if you hadn't submitted late (assuming you didn't use the extra day to your advantage and had guessed the same numbers). This of course is not intended to replace Mallow's official scores! Nikolai +53 (544) Skierinvermont +62 (939) Aces+63 (574) Blazes +82 (697) (2 months) nzucker +42 (427) Metallic +3 (16) Yoda +23 (94) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 :-o You would be even more dominating (total score wise) if you were not late.. :X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Not for long I'm sure I'm starting to think I guessed too low for May, it's been pretty warm so far. I'm really forgetful and scatterbrained so I'll probably end up submitting late again at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted May 7, 2011 Author Share Posted May 7, 2011 Just in case anybody is interested I've been keeping track of who submitted late and how many points they lost because of it. Here's the list of how many points you lost and what your score would be if you hadn't submitted late (assuming you didn't use the extra day to your advantage and had guessed the same numbers). This of course is not intended to replace Mallow's official scores! Nikolai +53 (544) Skierinvermont +62 (939) Aces+63 (574) Blazes +82 (697) (2 months) nzucker +42 (427) Metallic +3 (16) Yoda +23 (94) By the end I am planning on releasing both the totals with and without the late penalties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 By the end I am planning on releasing both the totals with and without the late penalties. Cool .. I might do updates every other month if I feel up to it but that saves me the trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Not for long I'm sure I'm starting to think I guessed too low for May, it's been pretty warm so far. I'm really forgetful and scatterbrained so I'll probably end up submitting late again at some point. You and I guessed almost the same thing for May temperature departures, hopefully great minds think alike Here was my guess: DCA: +1.3F NYC: +0.1F BOS: -0.7F And your guess: DCA: +1.2F NYC: +0.7F BOS: -0.2F And what do you mean by, "It's been pretty warm so far?" DCA is -1.3F, NYC is +0.1F, and BOS is +1.9F. Doesn't seem too warm to me, and this week should really even things out with seasonable conditions expected in DC and NYC (upper 60s-low 70s for highs, upper 40s-low 50s for lows) with cooler temperatures in Boston as a result of the H5 cut-off that's spinning away off the New England coast. There doesn't look to be any signs of a torch on the models, so I'm guessing this is going to be a very normal May with little in the way of dramatic heat waves/cold shots. Will probably finish slightly cooler than April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 You and I guessed almost the same thing for May temperature departures, hopefully great minds think alike Here was my guess: DCA: +1.3F NYC: +0.1F BOS: -0.7F And your guess: DCA: +1.2F NYC: +0.7F BOS: -0.2F And what do you mean by, "It's been pretty warm so far?" DCA is -1.3F, NYC is +0.1F, and BOS is +1.9F. Doesn't seem too warm to me, and this week should really even things out with seasonable conditions expected in DC and NYC (upper 60s-low 70s for highs, upper 40s-low 50s for lows) with cooler temperatures in Boston as a result of the H5 cut-off that's spinning away off the New England coast. There doesn't look to be any signs of a torch on the models, so I'm guessing this is going to be a very normal May with little in the way of dramatic heat waves/cold shots. Will probably finish slightly cooler than April. I only checked NYC and BOS and even though DCA has been cold that's not very helpful for us since even if we get the CUM right our gradient will probably be reversed. The good thing is BOS looks cool this week.. but NYC is going to add a lot to their anomaly this week. It's mostly like 50/70 52/72 which is 4-6F above average for the next 5+ days. It's not a torch but it's consistently moderately above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 I only checked NYC and BOS and even though DCA has been cold that's not very helpful for us since even if we get the CUM right our gradient will probably be reversed. The good thing is BOS looks cool this week.. but NYC is going to add a lot to their anomaly this week. It's mostly like 50/70 52/72 which is 4-6F above average for the next 5+ days. It's not a torch but it's consistently moderately above average. Remember, the average for NYC is 68/51 now; they're not expected to get into the 40s at night anymore. By the end of the week, Central Park will be close to 70/53 average. So I wouldn't say NY is going to add a lot to their anomaly, especially considering the renewed emphasis on the cut-off low locking in NE flow and cool 850s. Maybe a few tenths of a degree will be added to the cumulative departure, but 70/50 is about normal weather for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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