nzucker Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Not bad agreement among the 12z GFS ENS about some sort of storm threat next week. What does 12z ECM show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Not bad agreement among the 12z GFS ENS about some sort of storm threat next week. What does 12z ECM show? hr 132 it closes the low off in the se states...850's in central VA...surface just north of nyc....light qpf up to dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 hr 144 low on the sc coast....snow for western Va and big hit for the applachians...light snow up to ttn.....surface is just south of nyc...and 850's down in southern va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 hr 150 its just sitting over costal SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 hr 156 low just south of hse....850's and surface just south of nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 hr 174 its still over hse....light rain for our area.....surface/850's way north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 DT *** ALERT *** POSSIBLE East coast storm for MARCH 15-16-17... 12z EURO - UKMET and CANADIAN show Coastal Low developing 3/15 with Large cold HIGH to the North over eastern Great Lakes / North New England ... SNOW into Shenandoah western MD WVA central and Northeast PA northwest NJ much of NY and New England???? Stong winds / heavy rains along eastern VA eastern MD DE s NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 The Euro only depicts such a solution because of its handling of the initial event over the next few days. Ehhh, guess will see how well this storm can alter the current horrendous pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 FWIW... 12Z NGM/NOGAPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 GFS went towards euro. Very similar now with cutoff low by Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 FWIW... 12Z NGM/NOGAPS Locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 The DGEX turns our storm into a Sub Tropical Cyclone http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Along with the obvious Day 6 threat with a s/w passing to our south and a transient 50/50 low and North Atlantic ridge, the 0z GFS has some other hints of wintry weather in mid-late March... Here is the 500mb for the first storm at 120 hours: At Day 8/9, a coastal forms late and clips us with rain changing perhaps to some light snow...if it developed earlier, we might see a bigger hit: In the long range, we have a very cold pattern for late March with blockiness over Canada and overrunning threats to the south turning into Nor'easters....here is 300: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 The 00z euro digs the trough to late so preciep only gets to southern dc burbs.......no cut-off this run.......this is for the first storm next week....hr 132 low is about 250 miles east of hse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 The 00z euro digs the trough to late so preciep only gets to southern dc burbs.......no cut-off this run.......this is for the first storm next week....hr 132 low is about 250 miles west of hse 250 miles west of HSE? Do you mean east? How cold does it look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 250 miles west of HSE? Do you mean east? How cold does it look? Yes sorry east. Looks to be cold enough for snow if we get a ideal track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 It cuts off east of the BM and waits for the northern stream energy dropping down from the plains to catch up to it lol, if only we can get perfect timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Euro really torches us next weekend with 850 temps of 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Euro really torches us next weekend with 850 temps of 12 Can always count on long range euro to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 0z Euro, GGEM, UKIE and Nogaps all still have the day 6-7 storm. Just out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Euro has us getting close to 70 on st pattys...bring it.....no snow or winter in sight for the whole run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Euro has us getting close to 70 on st pattys...bring it.....no snow or winter in sight for the whole run.. bout ****ing time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Euro has us getting close to 70 on st pattys...bring it.....no snow or winter in sight for the whole run.. Agree. If no snowstorms, bring me warmth. Want to start fishing. Euro is pretty much a complete opposite of GFS in long range. GFS has a pretty strong -nao with cool temps while euro is a raging +nao and above average temps. Euro is always right with warmth and rain. So go with euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Euro is always right with warmth and rain. So go with euro. That is utter nonsense and has no viable justification. It could happen of course but there is no justifiable reason why it has a better chance of occurring than any other potential outcome. La Nina late winters and subsequently springs are rarely warm so the EURO is going against what is typical which makes it highly suspect in this instance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 That is utter nonsense and has no viable justification. It could happen of course but there is no justifiable reason why it has a better chance of occurring than any other potential outcome. La Nina late winters and subsequently springs are rarely warm so the EURO is going against what is typical which makes it highly suspect in this instance. It was a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 It was a joke. My apologies. The emoticon you included should have tipped me off. Sorry about that. Rolls Eyes would have worked better for me, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Euro has us getting close to 70 on st pattys... Charlie Sheen approves...#WINNING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Charlie Sheen approves...#WINNING beer and pool at earthlights on st pattys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Let's end this winter like April 1996. THAT'S WINNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Let's end this winter like April 1996. THAT'S WINNING. If we get a 70F day and April 1996 that'd be BI-WINNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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