Snow_Miser Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 LGT rain in C NJ... the worst is going to arrive tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Heavy rain really beginning to develop now on radar, we should start getting into the heart of the storm over the next 1-2 hours which should continue into tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Heavy rain really beginning to develop now on radar, we should start getting into the heart of the storm over the next 1-2 hours which should continue into tomorrow morning. Looks like most of NJ will be in a relative dry slot for awhile.... - http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=DIX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes - Light rain here in Western CT- .08 on the day so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 HRRR - wow http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr:&runTime=2011031018&plotName=cref_sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRRModelFields&maxFcstLen=15&resizePlot=1&domain=full&wjet=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 HRRR - wow http://rapidrefresh....ain=full&wjet=1 that's exactly why people shouldn't be focusing too much on the current radar. Now if at 3AM nothing is going on, people can start calling bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Heavy rain really beginning to develop now on radar, we should start getting into the heart of the storm over the next 1-2 hours which should continue into tomorrow morning. ? The radar looks horrible for heavy rainfall: NYC/NJ is sitting in a huge dryslot, and all of the heavy echoes over E PA are moving northwards, not towards our area. This event is starting to look like a bust. Sure it will rain more when the squall line comes through, but certainly all this talk about "life-threatening" and "historic" flooding is an exaggeration. Not doing anything across most of Jersey right now except for some light showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 ? The radar looks horrible for heavy rainfall: NYC/NJ is sitting in a huge dryslot, and all of the heavy echoes over E PA are moving northwards, not towards our area. This event is starting to look like a bust. Sure it will rain more when the squall line comes through, but certainly all this talk about "life-threatening" and "historic" flooding is an exaggeration. Not doing anything across most of Jersey right now except for some light showers. LOL-read the post above yours.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Take a look at the Mt. Holly radar. Echos over north Jersey much more impressive than the Upton Radar indicates. Also, the rivers right now are rising steadily, with a ton of more rain to come. People who call bust before the heart of the event is even forecasted to arrive should be 5 posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 LOL-read the post above yours.... It's Noreaster85: every time a few showers move through the area, it's time for evacuations and historic flooding. The current radar doesn't look at all like what the HRR projects for this time period. Where are all the heavy echoes over NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Take a look at the Mt. Holly radar. Echos over north Jersey much more impressive than the Upton Radar indicates. Also, the rivers right now are rising steadily, with a ton of more rain to come. People who call bust before the heart of the event is even forecasted to arrive should be 5 posted. That's light to moderate rain over NNJ, scattered showers. You can see the gaps in between the banding. The rest of the state is in a dryslot. All the heavier echoes are moving into NE PA and missing the metro area. Totals will depend on how much of that banding slips east, but it probably won't be nearly as heavy when it arrives as originally. And honestly, I think a lot of people here would like to 5-post you. Why do you think no one is allowed to argue with your interpretation of this event? Why are you the only one who can make comments? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 you can say whatever you want, I'm just tired of people always calling bust when the heart of the event has not arrived. That's not a fifteen minute squall line that's forecasted to move through either. People need to give things time. We have a long way to go on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 and also, take a look here at the dover air force base radar http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=dox&loop=yes Heavy rain now up to AC and moving north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 1.30 of rain so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 000 NOUS61 KPHI 102137 FTMDIX MESSAGE DATE: MAR 10 2011 21:35:00 THE WSR-88D AT FORT DIX, NJ (KDIX) HAS JUST GONE DOWN. TECHS ARE PRESENTLY WORKING ON IT. NO ESTIMATE TIME FOR REPAIR YET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 0.43" rainfall so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Maybe someone else can attest to this since my comments seem bias to some. Its a moderate wind driven rain right now in Ramsey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Bit of a dissapointing event so far here. Only .24" of rain and it looks like the best precipitation will stay to the west of NYC and CT. Have to check mesoanalysis but it looks like a bust here. I havent read through the thread at all, are other people also seeing low totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Bit of a dissapointing event so far here. Only .24" of rain and it looks like the best precipitation will stay to the west of NYC and CT. Have to check mesoanalysis but it looks like a bust here. I havent read through the thread at all, are other people also seeing low totals? I have less than half an inch, rain has been spotty all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 .13 light rain whats this about a party at earthlights pool for st pattys day? green pool and kegs? is this true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Bit of a dissapointing event so far here. Only .24" of rain and it looks like the best precipitation will stay to the west of NYC and CT. Have to check mesoanalysis but it looks like a bust here. I havent read through the thread at all, are other people also seeing low totals? The heavier totals weren't forecast until tonight into early Friday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 you can say whatever you want, I'm just tired of people always calling bust when the heart of the event has not arrived. That's not a fifteen minute squall line that's forecasted to move through either. People need to give things time. We have a long way to go on this one. I live near you and I have a moderate, steady rain. I don't know why people are complaining. Do they not identify the set-up we have right now. These slow-moving frontal events with a strong low pressure that rides to west of the area usually dump copious amounts of rain as well as a high pressure that continues to slow the fronts progression. If this was summer, we'd be talking about record rainfalls right now. We have awhile before the front and heaviest rain comes through the area. Cheack out those Thunderstorms in Central Virginia, NC, and SC. Its a line that extends all the way into the Atlantic. That's coming up here guys, and its going to have very heavy rain and strong winds with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Bit of a dissapointing event so far here. Only .24" of rain and it looks like the best precipitation will stay to the west of NYC and CT. Have to check mesoanalysis but it looks like a bust here. I havent read through the thread at all, are other people also seeing low totals? I recommend reading through the thread and realizing that the heaviest rains weren't expected until much later this evening for the NYC-area. Sheesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I recommend reading through the thread and realizing that the heaviest rains weren't expected until much later this evening for the NYC-area. Sheesh. Calm down, it was a simple question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Calm down, it was a simple question. I just think "I haven't read anything at all but I think this is busting. Also, I don't know what anyone else has" is a bit pointless and premature. It has already been stated that the event has just gotten started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 If anyone has any doubts, just check the radar out of Dover Air Force Base. Just got home to Pompton Plains, It's down right nasty out there with moderate rain and gusty winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Radar filling in nicely now...Western CT SE NY and North Jersey will be under the gun in a couple of hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riverrat Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 ? The radar looks horrible for heavy rainfall: NYC/NJ is sitting in a huge dryslot, and all of the heavy echoes over E PA are moving northwards, not towards our area. This event is starting to look like a bust. Sure it will rain more when the squall line comes through, but certainly all this talk about "life-threatening" and "historic" flooding is an exaggeration. Not doing anything across most of Jersey right now except for some light showers. Okay, mountain boy, maybe you're above the cloud tops where you live but I've had around an inch of precip so far here. The "dry slot" lasted for a good half hour and it's now raining moderately again. All this talk about "life threatening" and such may not happen in your own little elevated world but it is very real here and is not being exaggerated at all. Why don't you come down off the mountain top and help out all of these people as they try to cope with the made up disaster you are talking about and tell them they're just overblowing the situation and it's really not that bad. How ignorant you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riverrat Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 If anyone has any doubts, just check the radar out of Dover Air Force Base. Just got home to Pompton Plains, It's down right nasty out there with moderate rain and gusty winds. Stay safe if you're out tonight. This is truly going to suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Radar filling in nicely now...Western CT SE NY and North Jersey will be under the gun in a couple of hours yeah its going to come down in buckets tonight over North Jersey as radar begins to fill in and strengthen, along with a strong fetch off the ocean, the busts talk in here is funny but maybe they have not been following the models over the last few days to know exactly what would be going down. There is more fighting in here during a rainstorm then a snowstorm suprisingly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Rising faster than scheduled, no suprises here http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=phi&gage=pppn4&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1" and thanks guys for coming to my defense. I don't know why people in NY are telling me what the weather is like in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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