wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS has a sub 975 LOW. Track from KS, N. MO, IA, N. IL, and then in MI. Congrats MSP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 It gets down as low as 968 or so. Crazy wind storm?, maybe some severe weather? MKE gets about .25 or more QPF on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 It gets down as low as 968 or so. Crazy wind storm?, maybe some severe weather? MKE gets about .25 or more QPF on the backside. I assume more on the frontside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I'll lol hardily if this epic, awesome, massively active pattern yields a grand total of 2 inches of snow for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 You get QPF on the frontside but it's way too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 You get QPF on the frontside but it's way too warm. So does anyone get a significant snowstorm, say 8 inches or more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Quite a change from 12Z. The 18Z GFS ensemble mean was north though and so was the 12Z Euro's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 You get QPF on the frontside but it's way too warm. Yeah, I can see the GFS. It's a deluge of rain. Maybe some thunder. I'm ready for that springtime smell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 The 0z GFS says i'm headed to Missouri on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I'll lol hardily if this epic, awesome, massively active pattern yields a grand total of 2 inches of snow for me. It will at least yield some potentially exciting weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 At least it's another storm to track. Been a very active pattern the last week, and it looks to continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 The 0z GFS says i'm headed to Missouri on Sunday. Haha--if you want to track supercells flying at 60+ MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Euro's been all over the place. Looks like the energy will be onshore in a few days so sampling looks likely earlier than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 very impressive system on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Haha--if you want to track supercells flying at 60+ MPH. So kirksville all over again haha, and I will take a supercell moving that fast over a crappy slow moving shelf cloud lol I looked at the potential and I will just say I have nothing planned for sunday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 So kirksville all over again haha, and I will take a supercell moving that fast over a crappy slow moving shelf cloud lol I looked at the potential and I will just say I have nothing planned for sunday lol Chasing in the no man's land of radar coverage for the loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Haha--if you want to track supercells flying at 60+ MPH. Fast storm motion combined with crappy terrain FTL, but I wouldn't miss it especially since it would be the first chase of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Fast storm motion combined with crappy terrain FTL, but I wouldn't miss it especially since it would be the first chase of the season. save your money and chase a storm threat in may and june in the plains when you get the nice slow moving LP sup's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 One of the things I don't like about early season chasing (besides storm speed) is the earlier sunset times. Be that as it may, a trip down into Missouri will be in the offing if the new GFS were to pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 You know what, I've "warmed up" to the thunderstorm potential. You know why? Guess the only month Wisconsin has never recorded a tornado? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 0Z GGEM east of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 0Z GGEM east of the GFS. looks like a decent snow hit here basing off the UA and sfc reflection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Yup, GEM gets it down to sub 975 as well at hr 144. Storm is only 5-6 days away or so. It's not like we are talking about a 200+ hr event. 1 1/2 days and it's gonna be entering NAM's range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Could be something big in the midwest but I have seen these things fizzle out before so who knows I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 GEFS mean is slightly east of the op at 132 hours. Down to 983 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 UKMET has a strong system in Northen OH by 132hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 UKMET has a strong system in Northen OH by 132hr Looks like quite a spread now. Will be interesting to see the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Not really a big spread tbh considering it's 120+ hrs out. All the models so far take it from Michigan to either Ohio. GFS: Michigan GEM: N. Ohio UKIE: N. Ohio All get it down to sub 980 probably as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Looks like quite a spread now. Will be interesting to see the Euro. pure speculation this is just for fun but i bet it goes west of gfs just cuz...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 pure speculation this is just for fun but i bet it goes west of gfs just cuz...... we'll see if you are right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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