Itstrainingtime Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 From Tombo: "sv snow maps has 2-4 is edison to abe to south of ipt then sussex co del 4-8 lbi to hamilton to sellersville to to kutztown to lewistown then dc to kent/sussex co border to cape may pt. 8-12 york pa to gettysburg to bedford pa" Is the 8-12 area not along the southern tier? That's all I was trying to say... I wasn't wishcasting, (I'm not a wishcaster by any means) I was trying to add actual information that I read from what someone else had posted. I will try to post actual model links in the future to avoid the perception of just making up information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Preach it, brother. You only have to go back 4 years when I hit 80F and 2 days later I had over 10" of the white stuff... Was that the St. Paddys storm on a Friday? Edit, my notes say Feb. 16, 2007. 9 1/2" man the sky just turned black, looks like rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 So as of now it looks like south central PA has the best chance at snow Monday night-Tuesday. Correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 From Tombo: "sv snow maps has 2-4 is edison to abe to south of ipt then sussex co del 4-8 lbi to hamilton to sellersville to to kutztown to lewistown then dc to kent/sussex co border to cape may pt. 8-12 york pa to gettysburg to bedford pa" Is the 8-12 area not along the southern tier? That's all I was trying to say... I wasn't wishcasting, (I'm not a wishcaster by any means) I was trying to add actual information that I read from what someone else had posted. I will try to post actual model links in the future to avoid the perception of just making up information. That was from last night's 00z GFS. I heard the 06z NAM trended south, but the 00z Euro is a good hit for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 That was insane. Never forget that. I remember people were literally angry Might be some angry people tomorrow when it's 36° and winds are gusting near 50mph. 55° at my apartment...good day to walk to class. FWIW, 06z GFS shows a bit over .50" liquid, mostly sleet and freezing rain, for the upcoming event(s) in State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Was that the St. Paddys storm on a Friday? Edit, my notes say Feb. 16, 2007. 9 1/2" man the sky just turned black, looks like rain Wrong month. 3/16/2007 was the date of the big wet snow bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Wrong month. 3/16/2007 was the date of the big wet snow bomb. LOL yeah, thats what i meant.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 From JB: "MAJOR, DISRUPTIVE WINTER STORM "ENDS" HEAT WAVE FROM NEBRASKA TO NEW JERSEY WITH MUCH OF AREA BETWEEN I-70 AND I-80 INTO FOR A RUDE AWAKENING" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 52.6*F with a DP of 45. If we can get the sun to come out then 60 should be a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 52.6*F with a DP of 45. If we can get the sun to come out then 60 should be a lock. We are at 61, so absolutely. Got some sun, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 From Tombo: "sv snow maps has 2-4 is edison to abe to south of ipt then sussex co del 4-8 lbi to hamilton to sellersville to to kutztown to lewistown then dc to kent/sussex co border to cape may pt. 8-12 york pa to gettysburg to bedford pa" Is the 8-12 area not along the southern tier? That's all I was trying to say... I wasn't wishcasting, (I'm not a wishcaster by any means) I was trying to add actual information that I read from what someone else had posted. I will try to post actual model links in the future to avoid the perception of just making up information. Nah, as I pointed out, your post was fine. It's the general "models drier" or "models show giant snowstorm" stuff without backing that I was talking about. It gets confusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 High wind watches going up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 High wind watches going up. yeah, better button down the hatches. Clearing here again now. Sun working back out. edit. i'm starting to get a lil ansty. We are still dry and the 1st decent day yesterday i heard the scanner going nuts with brush fires. add the high winds and the potential for disaster is huge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 Holy crap is it nice. 62.5° with full sun. Walked back from class and there is still a solid 4-6" of snow/ice pack in the woods north of campus. Every so often there would be a cold gust of wind off the snowpack, kinda cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 well it looks like we in true central Pa will be too far south for the first event while for the 2nd event we will be too far north. Maybe the first storm can stay further south or the 2nd can move further north. Who we kidding, seems weve danced to this tune before...alot. Im basically at the point where Im ready for spring and baseball season. Bring it on. Speaking of spring, right now its 65 and it feels so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 yeah, better button down the hatches. Clearing here again now. Sun working back out. edit. i'm starting to get a lil ansty. We are still dry and the 1st decent day yesterday i heard the scanner going nuts with brush fires. add the high winds and the potential for disaster is huge! From the NWS discussion: STRONG WINDS...DRY AIR MASS AND DRY FINE FUELS PRESENT A POSSIBLEWILDFIRE CONCERN NR THE MASON DIXON LINE ON SATURDAY. HAVE OPTEDFOR NO WATCH ATTM...AS CURRENT FCST IS FOR AFTN RH VALUES AOA 30 PCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 well it looks like we in true central Pa will be too far south for the first event while for the 2nd event we will be too far north. Maybe the first storm can stay further south or the 2nd can move further north. Who we kidding, seems weve danced to this tune before...alot. Im basically at the point where Im ready for spring and baseball season. Bring it on. Speaking of spring, right now its 65 and it feels so good. I just have to chuckle at the people in my office. They are so convinced we are done with any kind of winter weather. Those poor bastards.....by end of March they are going to be the ones whining how we never have nice springs around here. Seen it so many times before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 From the NWS discussion: STRONG WINDS...DRY AIR MASS AND DRY FINE FUELS PRESENT A POSSIBLEWILDFIRE CONCERN NR THE MASON DIXON LINE ON SATURDAY. HAVE OPTEDFOR NO WATCH ATTM...AS CURRENT FCST IS FOR AFTN RH VALUES AOA 30 PCT. no doubt. On the way back from lunch, i saw an A-hole throw a cig butt out his truck window and i cringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 58.8*F. Hopefully we get enough sun to hit 60. As for the storms...meh. Looks like the IPT-AVP screw zone will rear its ugly head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 58.8*F. Hopefully we get enough sun to hit 60. As for the storms...meh. Looks like the IPT-AVP screw zone will rear its ugly head. Yeah man, I'm burnt out...I'm loving this weather. 61.6 out right now.....still have 2-3 inches of snow pack but its working on leaving with this sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Looking at the 12z GFS at least it looks like we won't have to worry about sleet/ice. Surface temps get well into the 30s for the first storm. 2nd storm could be a 2-5" type deal around the Turnpike in SPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 it is amazing how this snowpack is still here. I would have thought it would have melted by now. Prob cuz its ice now and not really snow. Think that sleet we got really helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 it is amazing how this snowpack is still here. I would have thought it would have melted by now. Prob cuz its ice now and not really snow. Think that sleet we got really helped. Yeah, the sleet made it pretty tough lol. I wish it would go away now though...lol, its not much to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I just have to chuckle at the people in my office. They are so convinced we are done with any kind of winter weather. Those poor bastards.....by end of March they are going to be the ones whining how we never have nice springs around here. Seen it so many times before. yep.I agree. Its wayyy to early to think winter is over. Most ppl are sick of winter and are getting anxious for spring, and with this warm wx they dont wanna go back to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Yeah, the sleet made it pretty tough lol. I wish it would go away now though...lol, its not much to look at. I hear ya. I think Im about at my end for winter this yr. If we could lock in 50's or higher for the next month,I believe I would hit the button. Got spring fever now. Lets just melt the rest of this snow and wash all the salt and stuff away and have spring. However, if a major snow was within a day from here , well....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 just heard 5 fire calls for brush, field or tan bark fires, one right after the next edit, as i was posting, 6,7 and 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Well, we made it to 60. Winds are picking up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 This is one of the most intense wind setups (non-thunderstorm) we've had in a while. The winds align perfectly at all levels of the atmosphere: And the jet stream that is going to be over us will be ripping: Easily wind gusts over 50 MPH, and over 60 MPH on the ridges. And with an increasing brush fire threat, any that do develop will be very tough to tame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Any ice jam issues around you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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