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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    Latest RAP is close...HRRR is too warm here with current temps. Both have the leading precipitation as snow along 40 and north in central valley.
  2. TellicoWx
    Temps here currently are closer to the RGEM than the NAM 3k...down to 29.
  3. TellicoWx
    There's one thing on the GFS that we have all seen before and 9x out 10 turns into Lucy pulling the football....Great Lakes Low = ominous death signal for the southern valley.
  4. TellicoWx
    Sorry just noticed thread...mods feel free to move my other post here. Basically the lee side low effect on backend has me somewhat intrigued especially for the plateau counties.
  5. TellicoWx
    Check please lol...I would be more than happy with this winter after that.
  6. TellicoWx
    GFS spitting out a heavy hitter
  7. TellicoWx
    12z NAM bringing ice north of 40 in middle TN
  8. TellicoWx
    GFS trying to follow with another system possibly a few days after the second one
  9. TellicoWx
    RGEM has been consistent...ICON also slowed down some...timing will play a big factor....still think it's more of a nuisance ice if anything at all.
  10. TellicoWx
    0z ICON and RGEM coming in a touch colder at the onset of precip for 1st system
  11. TellicoWx
    I've been lurking...you guys do a great job, and covered everything I could have added. Think we are headed for model mayhem...just gut feeling we may have some wild times ahead (May end up with 100" of fantasy snow but been awhile since we had modeling trying to sort thru this type upcoming pattern). For system #1, globals always has a hard time seeing the very low level cold (resolution not designed to) that gets trapped in the microclimates of the eastern valley...always has seemed like ice is a "surprise" event to most.
  12. TellicoWx
    You guys along I40 and points north in eastern valley wouldn't let your guard down on system #1...last few runs keep taking small steps back south.
  13. TellicoWx
    22° temp spread across the county..sitting at 70.1 currently
  14. TellicoWx
    Tractor trailer flipped at Lenoir City exit on 75...Hwy 411 is beginning to ice between McMinn Co and Madisonville
  15. TellicoWx
  16. TellicoWx
    Sheriff deputy is at the I75 exit in Sweetwater, said it has turned into a solid sheet of ice on the whole thing...can't respond.
  17. TellicoWx
    I75 beginning to ice over here...wreck at mm 61
  18. TellicoWx
    Officially below freezing..31.8 with light rain...no model had freezing rain anywhere near southern Monroe.
  19. TellicoWx
    23z HRRR for my area. Sounding..40 Reality...32.4 DP 29 Skyway temp has started falling, went from 43 to 39 in last hour at 2000'...way colder than modeled as well.
  20. TellicoWx
    Here where I'm at, we always get WAA...still waiting. Made it up to 43.9..currently 34.3 with no wind. DP has went from 30 to 28 in last hour.
  21. TellicoWx
    CAMs still adding about 2-4" around Knox with the Lee
  22. TellicoWx
    Not liking the 3k NAM FZR totals for my area...it's closest so far on ground truth temps.
  23. TellicoWx
    And this is in response to the Lee if it forms up MRX AFD: The same guidance suggests a surge of colder air aloft will arrive tonight, potentially leading to light snow tonight
  24. TellicoWx
    This is the part that's gonna catch alot people off guard in the rain areas. MRX AFD: any wet roads will undergo a flash freeze tonight as temperatures fall into the teens and winds remain light. Black ice is a near certainty, and road crews will be challenged with the low temperatures.
  25. TellicoWx
    According to CAMs it's beginning to form now...should see it fully formed around 03z
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