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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    There threshold is alot lower but confidence must have increased for the cold push into those counties.
  2. TellicoWx
    For Chatt folks..FFC just expanded their warning area
  3. TellicoWx
    Sleep report near Red Bank on MPING
  4. TellicoWx
    Looking at HI Res data, not overly concerned about Monroe/McMinn north. However, Polk and Bradley getting a little more concerned, I wouldn't want to be in those areas. HRRR has brought slightly warmer air but NAM extended it...they are kinda meeting in the Middle. The push from the high is just slightly less last few runs, but looks more like normal model wobbling. Which plays huge into those 3 counties.
  5. TellicoWx
    RAP with a big expansion
  6. TellicoWx
    The artic boundary has moved across 75 here in Monroe Co, almost to 411 now. Easiest way to find it is using DP not air temp. When it passes DP begins crashing.
  7. TellicoWx
    Shows just how expansive this system is
  8. TellicoWx
    Expanding the Warning area in N. AL
  9. TellicoWx
    NAM has an 80' deep warm nose (925-950)...unless that nose originated from Hades think it's overdoing the frz ra
  10. TellicoWx
    AL Gov issuing a state of emergency
  11. TellicoWx
    Also noticed when the heavy banding setup, the accum map didn't match up to the omega
  12. TellicoWx
    Yeah almost looks convective in nature..supporting heavy bands
  13. TellicoWx
    Sleet reports far east as Tupelo...seems way ahead of schedule
  14. TellicoWx
    Yeah front has but the cold push is lagging...this is mainly for Monroe/Polk/Hamilton
  15. TellicoWx
    Front is not as fast here for the SE corner...6z HRRR showed 38, 12z 40, 16z 42...obs mid 40s. Something to keep an eye on.
  16. TellicoWx
    Whiteout conditions being reported in NW AR
  17. TellicoWx
    OBS time...not sure any model had freezing rain reports around Houston
  18. TellicoWx
    Think back to storms past, lots of us have done the cliff dive, especially along 75...only for a Lee to get in better view under 10-12 hrs to go.
  19. TellicoWx
    Lee side enhancements in the valley are not usually picked up well until almost now time. Add in the high ratios it has to work with, definitely think that may be too low. Someone (possibly a lot of someones) are about to get nailed with 12+ if that Lee materializes.
  20. TellicoWx
    RGEM may outdo the 6z
  21. TellicoWx
    While Hi-Res is the way to go..globals painting swaths like the 6z ICON and GFS has done..I would not be surprised if a couple Hi Res don't go full bonkers in the next couple runs today.
  22. TellicoWx
    GFS about to unload on the valley
  23. TellicoWx
    Think it's more of an algorithm issue...some models struggle a little more than others with high terrain features as far as exact locations. Rockies are a prime example, resolution is almost non existent there.
  24. TellicoWx
    Looking at the 6z runs so far, think they are right. You can almost trace the spine of the Apps from WV thru TN with the accum maps.
  25. TellicoWx
    6z ICON upping totals
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