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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. Doesn't make alot of sense..would think within the normal 36 hr window would want to use the most up to date data
  2. NAM still a little wonky with the lift but slowly getting there
  3. Yeah, just think offices are becoming to reliant so to speak on the NBM...instead of going with what makes most sense.
  4. 0z NAM looks like its going to get interesting south of 40
  5. Extremely rare to get the DGZ almost all the way to the surface, and one of the reasons I believe this may bust high. 0z HRRR...
  6. 0z HRRR is still out of range, but looks to be coming around so far
  7. Maybe you guys can remember...when has the Euro been this far off (if what NBM shows is accurate) before? I cant remember. Over this wide of an area.
  8. Not gonna lie..Will be a huge disappointment if the Euro goes to nothing in 12 hrs lol
  9. Goofy is bent on 6" for much of Monroe Co
  10. If I had to make a call for east of 75, would say 3-6" more for upper ridges and mountains
  11. Its way outside its range..surprised it showing what it is. It's heavily dependent on current radar data, so outside 6-12hrs it falls off verification wise.
  12. About 99% sure the eye of the snowcane over NW tip of SC on the 18z HRRR will somehow wiggle its way to over the top of southern Monroe Co lol
  13. For the HRRR to be picking anything up at this range makes me think even more that the NAM is off its rocker south of 40
  14. Usually once you reach 60-70% probs that is what helps determine WWA vs WSW. Almost like WPC and MRX are not on the same page (or MRX is going to give the NAM one more chance to catch on)
  15. You guys going to set off my PTSD with that map lol
  16. If you read the WWA verbatim on my phone it says expect 1 to 33 inches lol (that would be hilarious if it wasn't a glitch).
  17. They're leaning heavy on the NAM/NBM...which one is flawed and inputs into the other.
  18. Nope...and inch or less is my point forecast lol
  19. FFC pulling the trigger on WSW over NE GA makes me wonder if MRX is going to add counties to smooth out the southern valley.
  20. I'm an idiot..somehow switched to 0z. My apologies. The 168hr on the 0z looks almost identical to that one.
  21. You guys do know that's from 2 separate storms (2nd is in the longer range) lol
  22. If your south of 40 or west of 75..you're gonna need to send them a visual confirmation first lol...I have no doubt the social media backlash from the ice storm has made them lean heavily into their conservative side.
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