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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    Just saw a video from just NW Jonesboro, AR...they have changed over to moderate snow sticking to the grass and side streets.
  2. TellicoWx
    The changeover reports and pics in AR was happening halfway between the state line and Jonesboro.
  3. TellicoWx
    Lol, just noticed the 925 map looks like the Euro is pointing at NE TN as if to say I'm coming for you.
  4. TellicoWx
    Difference 1° made in the 850 line over East TN on startup of Euro
  5. TellicoWx
    Euro actually moved the 850 line 75 miles or so to the south at startup (6hr), but moved it right where it was on the 00z in next frame.
  6. TellicoWx
    Precip rates increased but 00z didn't have the warm tongue at 925
  7. TellicoWx
    Areas in the valley below Loudon/Blount would have had a greater increase in snowfall, but the Euro warms the 925's during the day tomorrow (850's below 0 across the entire valley)
  8. TellicoWx
    12z Euro (includes 2nd piece)
  9. TellicoWx
    Interesting, 12z Euro has the second trailing piece as well Monday morning.
  10. TellicoWx
    12z Euro with more moisture and quicker changeover even in the valley vs 00z
  11. TellicoWx
    Changeover to snow starting in AR...some decent icing on trees and powerlines from the pics I've seen.
  12. TellicoWx
    The thing with winter weather/tornado warnings...if you cry wolf too many times, people won't react when the wolf actual comes. NE TN has been almost a lock for several days now, so a warning early out for there only is a good call.
  13. TellicoWx
    They erred on the side of caution. At the afternoon update, we will be roughly right at the 18 hr lead time window, and we will see an expansion or issuance of a WWA (prob knox/Loudon area north). In the public's eyes, it's easier to upgrade then it is the cancel (people always remember the blown forecast to the bad more). We have all seen models lose a system, that was very consistent, between 24-18 hrs out and bust...so they waited for the edge of the issuance envelope.
  14. TellicoWx
    What little I've seen of the 12z FV3, it stays the course, crazy how consistent it is.
  15. TellicoWx
    On the 12z NAM, the area between Knox and Monroe/McMinn Co is about 1° to warm at 850 or the snow output would mirror Knox roughly. On the 12z 3k, it's even greate as it blazes the 850s over this area. Starting late tonight the PWS will help tell which is more correct.
  16. TellicoWx
    There is a PWS up on the Cherohala Skyway near Indian Boundary Lake, I look at it to see the trends up in elevation. My temps here in the valley have been steady for past couple hours at 37. The station up on the mtn has began warming in the last hour and is now above my temp.
  17. TellicoWx
    12z 3K ups totals in central valley around knox
  18. TellicoWx
    12z NAm
  19. TellicoWx
    I believe MRX is holding off until this afternoon to get a complete look at everything, the 850 (what brings the snow/ice) is still back in W TX...plenty of time to hold off. Any snow outside extreme NE TN today is a bonus, the "show" comes with how the 850 comes thru.
  20. TellicoWx
    Hr27 12z NAM
  21. TellicoWx
    You would think they would have pulled at least a WWA for north of 40
  22. TellicoWx
    Lol, I'm just trying to find a snowflake.
  23. TellicoWx
    Radar looks to be filling in nicely there too
  24. TellicoWx
    Yep, rode the GFS
  25. TellicoWx
    6z 3k vs 00z
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