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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. While this has been a very complex and surprising system..don't think it's done with all of its tricks.
  2. That definitely didn't help matters..more heating makes it harder to scour out, especially if you lose radiational cooling. Bath tub theory..clouds act as a partial clog to drain out the heat.
  3. Great analysis...I think in the end the wave that generates the Lee Low wasn't well handled. Once in range the models start being able to hone in so to speak. Combine it with the plateau slowing things down naturally...it stalled and pushed back the Arctic air, especially at the downslope prone areas. With the pressure stabilizing now, more areas are going to be on the correct side of the Lee. Allows the artic to resume its push.
  4. Pressure has bottomed and leveled..wave has passed by and temps are responding (Sweetwater PWS). If you have stayed all snow...buckle up buttercups..you are about to be rocked lol
  5. Yeah you guys are gonna get rocked..wouldn't be surprised if some in the valley will go over a foot.
  6. For those stuck up against the base of the mountain and rain..the HRRR, which has been fairly accurate with the snow cutoff imby, has slowly been bumping totals up last couple runs for later this evening. Is it right, who knows, but may not end up completely blanked.
  7. Congrats, hope you guys can score om that side. We are fighting a SE wind..got up to 15-20 as the temp jumped. Until that switches directions we are out of luck.
  8. WAA really kicking in here..jumped 3° in last 30 mins..up to 36.1 now
  9. Nc/TN line on Cherohala Skyway..all rain as well...0" snow
  10. At least I can use my rain gauge to help figure out the ratios lol
  11. It's all good lol, will say in all my model watching years, this craziest storm ever. Was good learning lesson...fear the nose...even if arctic air is here.
  12. Congrats to everyone who scored. Glad a decided to take a nap this morning...all rain here.
  13. This is about one of the most complex systems I can remember IMBY. Just when I go to throw in the towel, the RAP does a 180. QPF is a major problem from my area, more so than a warm nose. HRRR could be right, but I've never seen the state line on the Skyway stay below freezing while Coker Creek/Rafter doesn't, and Tellico does.
  14. Well that didn't take long...all snow and elevated surfaces are white. Sister didn't believe me so made a mini snowball
  15. Looking at Chatt PWS stations, looks like they will wetbulb below 32
  16. If you would have asked me 3 hrs ago if I could get to 32 without wetbulbing, I would have said not a shot...yet here we are. T32...DP 26
  17. I can drive a mile up the road I go from 37 to 31...there is definitely a tight gradient here
  18. Temps starting to fall off the cliff here...28 in Madisonville. Good news is DP has stayed steady as air temp dropped.
  19. Did they hire actual meteorologists lol...their afd have been a tremendous improvement
  20. Last yard stick reading I saw posted was around 3"..been a few ago
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