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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    00z CMC looking better for the next system
  2. TellicoWx
    Yep, and the Southern Jet stays active even then...would be a great potential setup.
  3. TellicoWx
    Seems to always be the big fly in the ointment on these setups. 12z CMC is a great visual for seeing how much of a difference they can make...system #1 (GL Low) valley struggles at lower levels...system #2 (HP over the top) slider with better thermals.
  4. TellicoWx
    Something to keep an eye on for the next potential system, especially with marginal temps...the strength and placement of any Great Lakes Low.
  5. TellicoWx
  6. TellicoWx
    2nd Tornado Emergency..north of the 1st one
  7. TellicoWx
    Yeah wouldn't be surprised if this a late bloomer as a weak lee side low tries to develop up the spine of the Apps. Anyone East of I75 above 2000' (1500' north of I40) may be in for a surprise.
  8. TellicoWx
    09z Plumes showing some crazy members for TYS
  9. TellicoWx
    First thought that went thru my head on that 18z run...Goofy just looks off more than usual. This whole setup is just screaming ice west of the plateau to me, across all 3 models.
  10. TellicoWx
    Cmc had been very consistent honking big Ice along the MS. Apparently pivotal needs to expand their ice map range lol
  11. TellicoWx
    If you ever wonder what the perfect setup is here in the upper south...Goofy just showed it. 1060+ HP crashing into the Midwest generating a LP on the leading edge...HP setting up far enough south over the OH valley to funnel/anchor the cold down both sides of the Apps (almost like a double CAD)..and an active STJ attacking the retreating HP.
  12. TellicoWx
    Nothing like 2" of freezing rain and a foot of snow...Goofy rides again
  13. TellicoWx
    Definitely going into the Happy Hour Hall of Fame lol
  14. TellicoWx
    Big 1060 HP unleashed artic that run
  15. TellicoWx
    What lights from Pensacola to Atlanta lol
  16. TellicoWx
    When a CAM model (0z HRRR) streaks this heavily almost into Gwinnet Co, GA at that range...definitely peaks my attention level lol.
  17. TellicoWx
    Something noticed on the models last few runs, (outside the Cherohala Skyway, Monroe Co usually doesn't do well in NW flow events..so haven't been following that closely). The Euro/Canadian/RGEM usually pick up on the elevation change fairly well and don't show much for Tellico/Sweetwater/Athens area, but this event they have the 1" line creeping into those areas. Highly unusual, and something to keep an eye on. If they are picking up on something, may be a surprise bust high in the central valley even.
  18. TellicoWx
    Flurries still....2"
  19. TellicoWx
    Got moderate snow still...my guess is will be close to 2" by time it wraps up here.
  20. TellicoWx
    No driving off my hill..solid ice with 1" of snow on top..still snowing.
  21. TellicoWx
    Crashes all over Monroe and McMinn Co.
  22. TellicoWx
    Upgraded to a flizzard here..even tho returns don't look great. Coated the roads pretty quickly.
  23. TellicoWx
    One good note I guess, HRRR and RAP didn't pick up the current bands..accum on those runs don't start until closer to 7.
  24. TellicoWx
    Yeah thats how it was in Madisonville under the band moving up the valley. Nice rates if you get under it.
  25. TellicoWx
    Side roads in Madisonville are coated, still barely a flurry in Tellico
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