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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    16z HRRR really liking the Plateau counties..wouldn't be surprised if MRX went with a WWA considering temps already below freezing in spots in those areas. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  2. TellicoWx
    Noticed some of the PWS around Crossville ranging from 30-32 Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  3. TellicoWx
    Looks like decent size on the cam Corbin, KY Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  4. TellicoWx
    Finally getting some video out of NW MS...Big fat flakes falling in Sardis, MS Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  5. TellicoWx
    Yeah, trying to see which modeling is closer to reality. Couldn't find many reports out your way. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  6. TellicoWx
    Fine flakes?..JW if the dry slot is messing with the DGZ out your way. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  7. TellicoWx
    00z NAM...the energy continues east to the mountains, with surface temps right around freezing. It would definitely be threading the needle, with a small window to put down some moderate snow. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  8. TellicoWx
    Noticed on all the 00z modeling there is decent lift from Nashville east to the Smokies (for a couple hours while before the layer gets dry slotted)..00z Euro increased across this area as well. If that is how it unfolds..could see a nice 1-3 plateau (1-1.5 valley) area underneath the higher rates. The OPRH is supportive of the band. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  9. TellicoWx
    00z GFS sounding for Memphis, while somehow dropping 6" snow??? Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  10. TellicoWx
    00z RGEM Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  11. TellicoWx
    NAM listened to Holston on the speed lol Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  12. TellicoWx
    I'm not seeing anything in the MJO that says blowtorch warmth. Until we get the QBO to go negative (easterlies), research shows the MJO has less of an influence on the PNA/NAO. Couple that with it going low amp/COD..other drivers are taking over the pattern (intraseasonal patterns/base enso state/normal system temp variance). Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  13. TellicoWx
    Either all modeling is catching on with the short wave coming on shore currently over CA or this is the biggest Lucy job in quite awhile (especially for you guys in middle/west TN) lol. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  14. TellicoWx
    Yeah definitely want to go with your 33% rule Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  15. TellicoWx
    0z CMC Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  16. TellicoWx
    Big run coming for CMC...C AR / W TN (Memphis) big jump vs 12z Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  17. TellicoWx
    CMC following the suite trend so far with slower/stronger...snow breaking out in C TX this run Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  18. TellicoWx
    Overall so far a nice 00z suite, with the exception of the NAM maybe overemphasizing the consolidation of the energy over C AL. RGEM was headed for glory lol. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  19. TellicoWx
    It also followed the meso models (just not quite to the same extent) of slightly stronger energy Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  20. TellicoWx
    00z NAM had a better energy setup between middle TN and smokies, but really drove a dry slot in between 700 and 850 cutting totals. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  21. TellicoWx
    00z RGEM coming in a tad slower/stronger with the wave as it moves over TX Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  22. TellicoWx
    Looks like it kept the energy more consolidated toward the Gulf longer vs prior runs (results in the precip increase over C AL). Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  23. TellicoWx
    00z NAM weaker with the trailing energy over west TN...step toward the GFS/Euro. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  24. TellicoWx
    Vort is a tad stronger along CA/AZ border on 0z..see how it goes Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
  25. TellicoWx
    If we can get any help from the Pacific, I really like where the teleconnections are headed as far as the AO. The NAO should open the Gulf up with an active southern stream. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk
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