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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    Lol, mother nature def pulling out all the Tricks for Halloween...not so much on the Treats.
  2. TellicoWx
    NWS Memphis receiving reports of light snow/flurries across northern Shelby Co.
  3. TellicoWx
    Front just reached the plateau, always interesting to see how quickly the cold can spill over it.
  4. TellicoWx
    3k def would agree with you Carver, and with how quick the drop is in temps, plus the upslope squeezing whatever moisture trails behind I wouldn't be too surprised.
  5. TellicoWx
    Almost 30° swing across the state behind the front...Happy Halloween lol.
  6. TellicoWx
    I live in Tellico on the Skyway, highest station in elevation was at Indian Boundary on the TN side but it no longer reports. There is a couple of military areas near the peak, but have never seen anywhere you can access the info.
  7. TellicoWx
    Yeah been watching the 10/31-11/1 timeframes on the GEFS for a few days now. It's been showing a fairly decent front passage in that window. 18z temps for the for the 30th have been trending up each day (+16° so far). Frontal timing has been wavering between early morning hours on 31st and during the overnight on 31st. Fairly decent chance of first potential freeze following here.
  8. TellicoWx
  9. TellicoWx
    SPC determines bust/verified off total severe reports (including non tornadic), max rating is also took into account. Death toll has zero to do with it, all the dates above had way fewer reports than this event. One example of a high risk verifying is a derecheo event with minimal tornadoes. This event isn't over and probably not too far off from verification based on total reports alone. Headlines like that and no major damage is what drives complacency (and fuels some of the insane comments I've read here).
  10. TellicoWx
    This would barely rank in the top 10 bust days. 5/7/88, 4/11/91, 5/17/95, 6/5/99, 4/11/05, 4/13/07 were all bigger busts off the top of my head. That's not counting 7/31/02 High Risk that only made it in one disco. What makes this one seem worse is when TV really overhypes things. Headline for CNN "Catastrophic Tornadoes possibly effect millions in TX/OK" does more damage than good.
  11. TellicoWx
    2 fatalities now reported by coroner in Monroe Co, MS with people still missing
  12. TellicoWx
    Reports now of multiple injuries and homes destroyed in Monroe Co MS, south of the radar site.
  13. TellicoWx
    SPC stated earlier tonight once the cold outflow caught up, there may be some reintensification...never imagined it would result in these.
  14. TellicoWx
    Another large/violent tornado reported near Scooba MS
  15. TellicoWx
    Some reports saying it didn't cycle, but got lost in the dead zone and radar site barely missed a direct hit
  16. TellicoWx
    TOR Warnings starting to really light up to the south of that cell, along the MS/AL border
  17. TellicoWx
    Very impressive for being that close to radar, has to be a monster on the ground
  18. TellicoWx
    MSU Crisis Team reporting no dmg to the campus grounds
  19. TellicoWx
    Reports of dmg at Aspen Heights East of campus
  20. TellicoWx
    Yeah, one of the biggest things models missed on today
  21. TellicoWx
    Power flashes reported with the warned storm near Kosciusko MS about 15 mins ago
  22. TellicoWx
    Lots of reports of rapidly rotating wall clouds. While there seems to be a lot of mid/upper lvl shear, lack of shear near the surface is keeping this from being a big outbreak.
  23. TellicoWx
    A long way from LA, but had a quick CC drop and spotter reports of funnel cloud near Drexel NC
  24. TellicoWx
    Cell near Alexandria is warned now
  25. TellicoWx
    People in Alto look to be in the path again after damaging storm earlier.
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