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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    6 hr totals...00z vs 12z...axis shifting north. Last thing the counties along the TN/AL border need.
  2. TellicoWx
    CMC very similar to EURO...GFS is alone with the southern solution.
  3. TellicoWx
    EURO keeps shifting the axis of heaviest precip more N...something to keep an eye on over next 72 hrs.
  4. TellicoWx
    Here's a big problem with the system pulling north (12z Euro)...its keeps inching the axis of heavy rainfall over areas trying to dry out.
  5. TellicoWx
    You know that run has to be right then lol
  6. TellicoWx
    Sig ice just south snow line..kuchera really hits E TN
  7. TellicoWx
    EURO close to something bigger at 156, still nails southern half TN
  8. TellicoWx
    ICON has a decent little event, while CMC crushes AR into W TN with ice.
  9. TellicoWx
    GEFS individuals...decent consensus at this range for someone across the upper south.
  10. TellicoWx
    Jump on the GEFS day 8...must be some big members
  11. TellicoWx
    00z EPS improved if you are looking for snow...HP over the Midwest isn't so overbearing and allowed more LP clusters to come NW along the Gulf and across the FL panhandle.
  12. TellicoWx
    GEFS and EPS are not far from that Euro Op run...its been there a few days. Definitely peaked my interest, while ops have been varied with suppression (Euro bias), individual members aren't varying as much on either ensemble. With the load pattern moisture wise we have been in, it would not surprise me. I actually give it a 30% chance at this range. Yeah would definitely be a kick in the junk. Something else I worry about, the extremely high soil moisture content and freezing temps. Once it thaws back out, risk of slides will only go up.
  13. TellicoWx
    No slides on anywhere here, unless it's in the CNF itself, off the roadways. Really has surprised me so far.
  14. TellicoWx
    CFS has been trending wetter into Cali (how that translates East will be interesting) and dumping cold into the Midwest.
  15. TellicoWx
    Overall, it was the 64th highest recording. SE TN mountains were spared the worst part.
  16. TellicoWx
    Broke the daily flow record here on the Tellico, prev record was 1962.
  17. TellicoWx
    I love snow, but honestly I kinda hope it does. With our river system so stressed right now, the last thing we need is the mountains getting hammered with snow and then flipping back to an above avg precip mode like the long range is suggesting for the second 2/3 March.
  18. TellicoWx
    GEFS is further north in the gulf, while EPS is more suppressed
  19. TellicoWx
    6z GFS snow mean pretty much sums up winter here lol...donut hole for TN lol
  20. TellicoWx
    That's my biggest concern here...heaviest rate look aimed more south of 40. River here didn't get to recede much and is right at bank full...need the stuff over N Al to weaken.
  21. TellicoWx
    Columbus, MS just took a direct hit
  22. TellicoWx
    Widespread damage inside the city...scary video coming in from inside what appears to be a gas station.
  23. TellicoWx
    Initial reports are Columbus took a direct hit
  24. TellicoWx
    EAS activated:
  25. TellicoWx
    Exit 49 on I75 in McMinn Co is closed. Hwy 305 is becoming impassable in places. AFD Pics:
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