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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    Southern stream dynamics starting to fire over LA....AR dynamics is being driven off the northern stream. Where these two collide is going to be intense (all signs point to the eastern valley/plateau
  2. TellicoWx
    Depends on the orientation between Mobile and Tallahassee...more perpendicular it is, the more it can disrupt transport. Seen the opposite as well if it is orientated NNW.
  3. TellicoWx
    All the ingredients are checked off...enough cant be said how the timing couldn't have been much more perfect (overnight) to max out potential (takes solar aspect out of it). Someone in the southern valley is in for a helluva show.
  4. TellicoWx
    Thundersnow in downtown Little Rock
  5. TellicoWx
    Just woke up from mine, and about joined the stroke club after looking at the 18z RGEM (it's typically very close for my area). 12" line knocking on my backdoor.
  6. TellicoWx
    Hammering in NW AR...2"-4" reports coming in
  7. TellicoWx
    12z GEFS ticked up..it underperformed almost as bad as the 3k in NW AR at 6z/0z
  8. TellicoWx
    I49 in NW AR is being closed...6z GFS/HRRR seem to have had the best handle there for what it's worth. Nam 3k did very poorly. Understatement of the year for those folks..alot of wrecks reported. Was near 70 yesterday.
  9. TellicoWx
    Ended up getting about a 10 min shower..got a dusting in the grass. Thats actually decent for this type system.
  10. TellicoWx
    Up on Skyway and Coker Creek do ok in these, town very rarely scores
  11. TellicoWx
    I'm at home in Tellico..not even a flurry lol. Sweetwater is snowing...snow on sides of the road and parking lots are white.
  12. TellicoWx
    Lol, I can't even buy a flake today
  13. TellicoWx
    12z CMC pops a low (day later) that is on a similar track as the GFS.
  14. TellicoWx
    So far all 0z modeling looking a little better (NAM, RGEM, ICON) for NW flow areas
  15. TellicoWx
    Definitely a better run for the NW flow folks...can also see the embedded streaks of heavier precip in the 0z 3K.
  16. TellicoWx
    Very light freezing drizzle here...really messing up roads. Car flipped on the Hwy 411 bridge in Vonore
  17. TellicoWx
    Roads here are iced over
  18. TellicoWx
    Picked up a quick dusting on elevated surfaces
  19. TellicoWx
    Radar isn't picking it up, but have a moderate snow shower going here in Madisonville
  20. TellicoWx
    Thanks John...and if you watch the last frame all 3 pieces of energy (Southwest, N. Plains, and ours) jumps back west almost exactly the same distance. Almost like it shifted the entire upper air pattern over NA in unison.
  21. TellicoWx
    If you watch the 500mb vort map, you can follow the northern energy digging south. Earlier runs it digs thru the OH River valley. 0z digs it back into MO. Short range has been digging it to OK. Further west/southwest it can dig. The better odds of 1) able to spin a LP sooner (more west than currently) 2) increases the interaction with the energy over the south west.
  22. TellicoWx
    GEFS jumped the energy as well...another jump like that and the GFS will look more like the short range models, and bring alot more into the game.
  23. TellicoWx
    GFS is struggling right now...jumped ever piece of energy 150 or so miles west in North America @69h
  24. TellicoWx
    GFS digging SW a little more, not sure how much it will help
  25. TellicoWx
    MRX going to ride the NBM again
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