TellicoWx
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Everything posted by TellicoWx
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Latest HRRR now has 6" line into parts of Knox
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7.3" now reported just NE of Jackson, MS...crazy
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Snow beginning to fall in Jackson, MS
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Correct, the way the cold is wrapping in Memphis down to Western MS will changeover before NE AR
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For the NBM:
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It uses every OP, and Ens...40+ models plus real time obs
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LZK really jumping their totals over SE AR in last couple hours.
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We will find out very soon if we are closer to a WRN...N MS. NBM has very little there...Hires is complete opposite.
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It is...repercussions of Super Storm Sandy. After that storm, Congress passed a bill mandating NOAA/NWS improve their forecasting (also known as WRN, or Weather Ready Nation)..it lead to the birth of the NBM.
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Problem with putting all your eggs in one basket (NBM)...this is a major test for it.
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Under normal circumstances, yeah most of the time. But this is the most unusual storm I've followed in a long time.
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18z GFS doesn't back down...19z HRRR continued the colder trend out west. This is either going to be one of the greatest model fails in history..or alot of offices are going to be scrambling.
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May mean absolutely nothing, just the data that was being ingested was corrupted from the explosion...small changes can have a compounding effect as time goes out.
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Not sure if this has any effect what so ever, but alot of the Hires models ingest data from PWS networks and other real time data. Thus is from my PWS, recording the pressure wave from the Tonga explosion, would have been around time 12z to 18z data was being ingested.
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18z NAM crushes HUN
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18z NBM
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NBM up and running...let's see how it interprets all this data...it waits to ingest the first couple frames of the 18z HRRR to find the different model bias. Probably what MRX is waiting on.
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HRRR would have been higher across Southern valley/plateau, back into NE AL/GA...but had an extended period of sleet.
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18z HRRR @33
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Lol, who?
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In their defense tho...MRX has to rank among one of the worst places to be assigned as a Met...with the 1 million different microclimates they have to deal with
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Yeah, wouldn't be surprised if they coordinate with MEG and FFC to connect the WSW area
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MRX...nothing to see here...move along lol
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So which is correct on the thermals lol...12z Euro vs 12z 3k NAM, almost identical..but different interpretation.
