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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. i mean... this is pretty awesome. the GEFS looking like this now is big. it was the holdout before
  2. i don't think this year will fail us in the PNA department when it matters in February
  3. heights out west are trending a lot better on the GEFS
  4. yes, we lag with the MJO and we'd get a period of warmth, prob the last week of Jan before the Aleutian low develops. all looks on track to me
  5. heights out west are trending a lot better
  6. Feb still looks good. the MJO traverses through the crappier phases pretty quickly and the rising air over the MC is replaced with subsidence
  7. GEFS made another tick towards the EPS and GEPS, not hanging as much of the trough back
  8. GEFS made another tick towards the EPS and GEPS, not hanging as much of the trough back
  9. GFS made good changes towards the ECMWF/CMC this run
  10. reminds me of late Jan into early Feb in 2021
  11. that's the real timeframe where something bigger can occur, if it's correct
  12. look at this. block decays and sits over the Davis Strait, low heights out west retrograde, heights over the Rockies rise, and the low heights from the TPV move into the 50/50 region. you thinking what I'm thinking? lmao
  13. those kinds of -PNA/-EPO/-NAO patterns can deliver good overrunning while the block is in place and the TPV is close. likely have Arctic air over the top
  14. this is awesome. can even see some ridging trying to form on the WC despite BN heights. active polar jet, very cold, -NAO decaying in a perfect spot
  15. EPS is definitely pushing that lobe under the block more. considerable change from last run
  16. pretty significant change with heights east as well. definitely pushing that lobe under more
  17. the -NAO does not correlate to a SE ridge overall. the months with the strongest -NAOs often have a SE trough
  18. that's in the far medium range, too. far from fantasy
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