brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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could be the one. this is a highly favorable look with the decaying block
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agreed. want to get into that D5-6 timeframe but for now, it seems as though a lot is aligning. hopefully we can pull together a thump for the NW posters with the 15-16th. unfortunate to see the confluence weaken in the worst spot
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this is so sick lmao
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the 20th was always the most favorable window as the block fully matured, by the way
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if this isn't anything but a highly favorable setup on the EPS then some of you are being a bit dishonest. everything is in the right spot with the decaying block over central Canada linking up with the developing +PNA
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considering it will snow three times in a week for some in this subforum including this weekend, I would say right around now
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there absolutely is the potential for some fluff factor in the northern area of the precip shield... factor in a strong 250mb jet and 700 FGEN and it wouldn't be shocking to see an area of enhanced, higher ratio snow
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that -PNA is early on. the 16th is when the trough fully swings through... we can see a snowfall there if the confluence is strong enough but I was just showing the block at its strongest. when it breaks down around the 20th, the pattern continues to become even more favorable
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personally I find it very hard to believe there isn't going to be a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down
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personally, I find it very hard to believe that there isn't a large storm when a four sigma west-based -NAO breaks down
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liking the trend in the confluence for the 16th. in these patterns the quality of the threats increases as the block matures
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liking the trend in the confluence for the 16th. in these patterns the quality of the threats increases as the block matures
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lol this is much more fitting for the NYC subforum than the MA subforum where you often post
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I still think the greatest potential with this pattern exists around the 20th as the block fully retrogrades and weakens. just drool worthy synoptics with the TPV in SE Canada, west based -NAO ridging, and a vort showing up in the Rockies
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I still think the greatest potential with this pattern exists around the 20th as the block fully retrogrades and weakens. just drool worthy synoptics with the TPV in SE Canada, west based -NAO ridging, and a vort showing up in the Rockies
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I still think the greatest potential with this pattern exists around the 20th as the block fully retrogrades and weakens. just drool worthy synoptics with the TPV in SE Canada, west based -NAO ridging, and a vort showing up in the Rockies
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amazing Irish pub
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block is really doing its dirty work here. fits the pattern honestly
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the GEFS is a fancy OP 80% of the time so this is not surprising
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for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
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can't believe that we have three legit chances for snowfall before the most favorable part of the pattern even sets in. pretty nuts and I'm excited
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for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
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for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
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kinda wild that the rippage on the GFS is while the block is still maintaining strength. the big dog isn't even popping up yet
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luckily there is potential beforehand for snowfall. that's just when the pattern ends which is a ways away
