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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    I think it was always sorta between the 10-15th and it got narrowed down closer to the 15th. I also think people underestimate how much can happen in three weeks. most prolific periods, when they do happen, don't actually last for that long
  2. brooklynwx99
    we went from potentially insane torrid stretch to getting ready to panic in like three days? everything is still on track for the second half of the month into early March
  3. brooklynwx99
    I think a good amount of it is crap luck. both Dec 2022 and this month could have featured massive storms if not for the random interplay of TPV lobes. there is no way to forecast that more than 5, maybe 7 days in advance, and it fucked both of those high end threats up. it's a shame, but it happens. I don't think it speaks to the potential of the pattern at large, though. this month was especially egregious. that was locked and loaded and the TPV split in the worst possible fashion. it's so frustrating, but we'll be back. the worm has to turn
  4. brooklynwx99
    i’ve laid my thoughts out supported by evidence and we’re going to have to agree to disagree. we’ll see what happens in the coming weeks
  5. brooklynwx99
    why is he just allowed to bad mouth meteorologists like that? without as much as a suspension?
  6. brooklynwx99
    wow. a change of two days at a two week lead time. devastating
  7. brooklynwx99
    look, give me a bowling ball, a juiced STJ, and confluence in a strong Nino February and it can be worked out
  8. brooklynwx99
    bowling ball phases with the backside of the TPV lobe. wonderful
  9. brooklynwx99
    looks good to me
  10. brooklynwx99
    look at this crazy SE ridge. this was due to the La Nina base state at the time
  11. brooklynwx99
    this is remarkable consistency with that feature. I don't think a step back has been taken
  12. brooklynwx99
    that trough in the SW has been there for like 10 days on the weeklies
  13. brooklynwx99
    it hasn't slowed. it's been in nearly the same spot for two weeks
  14. brooklynwx99
    i have seen some members that phase with lingering ULL energy, but that’s kinda exotic and not too likely
  15. brooklynwx99
    yeah, it’s tough for you guys… even for NYC’s latitude honestly. but at this point, looking at a potent southern stream wave in a blocky pattern, it’s something to watch
  16. brooklynwx99
    that’s the 12th. what’s your point? these are the weeklies at the same time… there is lots of agreement
  17. brooklynwx99
    big Nino stuff here
  18. brooklynwx99
    jesus
  19. brooklynwx99
    all good changes here
  20. brooklynwx99
    it’s kind of discouraging posting in here. i get that people are jaded and pessimistic, but just making stuff up to be negative is a different story. that’s just bittercasting there hasn’t been a delay. it’s been timed within a day for the last two weeks
  21. brooklynwx99
    no, they don’t
  22. brooklynwx99
    this is extremely consistent. 14 runs and the trough is almost in the exact same spot. differences in intensity are to be expected, but the placement of features has barely moved in two weeks
  23. brooklynwx99
    that ridging signal was always there on the weeklies
  24. brooklynwx99
    it’s always been around the 10-15th. how is there a can kick? if anything that stuff around the 6th went from an unabated torch to at least somewhat interesting
  25. brooklynwx99
    I'll take it at this range
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