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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. look, give me a bowling ball, a juiced STJ, and confluence in a strong Nino February and it can be worked out
  2. bowling ball phases with the backside of the TPV lobe. wonderful
  3. look at this crazy SE ridge. this was due to the La Nina base state at the time
  4. this is remarkable consistency with that feature. I don't think a step back has been taken
  5. that trough in the SW has been there for like 10 days on the weeklies
  6. it hasn't slowed. it's been in nearly the same spot for two weeks
  7. i have seen some members that phase with lingering ULL energy, but that’s kinda exotic and not too likely
  8. yeah, it’s tough for you guys… even for NYC’s latitude honestly. but at this point, looking at a potent southern stream wave in a blocky pattern, it’s something to watch
  9. that’s the 12th. what’s your point? these are the weeklies at the same time… there is lots of agreement
  10. it’s kind of discouraging posting in here. i get that people are jaded and pessimistic, but just making stuff up to be negative is a different story. that’s just bittercasting there hasn’t been a delay. it’s been timed within a day for the last two weeks
  11. this is extremely consistent. 14 runs and the trough is almost in the exact same spot. differences in intensity are to be expected, but the placement of features has barely moved in two weeks
  12. that ridging signal was always there on the weeklies
  13. it’s always been around the 10-15th. how is there a can kick? if anything that stuff around the 6th went from an unabated torch to at least somewhat interesting
  14. i do think that the pattern initially is more MA favored with that omega block, but it should open up for you guys. 2003 and 1983 both smack BOS. as did 78 and 58, of course. i’d feel better around my latitude though, at least for the first 15 days of the month
  15. i mean, you tell me… here’s the projected pattern for Feb compared to strong/super Ninos and weak/moderate Ninos. you tell me
  16. Webb called me a biased weenie for using 2010 as an analog a couple months ago on another platform. i’ve been on it (as have other) since the summer. he assumed that i thought that the Nino was Modoki… i just said it could act like it at times, which seems to be true in Feb, given the warm WPAC and low MEI. he said that i picked it because it was one of the snowiest winters in the NE and MA and not much else and now he’s using it for MJO progression on twitter. you just have to laugh, no?
  17. blah and boring? really? i wouldn’t call this boring
  18. as postulated, the lingering WPAC warmth is helping make this Nino act more like a weak to moderate event rather than a super event. the difference is pretty obvious it wasn’t just weenie speculation saying that this wouldn’t act like a super Nino. it hasn’t, and it likely will stray further as we head into Feb. no wonder the MEI was moderate
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