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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    i think this window has a more mature pattern where the block isn't quite as oppressive... the 50/50 is in the spot it "should" be in, so the risk of completely squashing something is lower
  2. brooklynwx99
    there has been a pretty well defined trend to get more of the southern stream involved
  3. brooklynwx99
    UKMET was a pube away. everything else is there for the taking with this setup, just need the phase
  4. brooklynwx99
    the overall synoptics are very favorable, just worried about the western ridge rolling over and trapping the SW vort in hell for a few days
  5. brooklynwx99
    seems like we have this pinned down
  6. brooklynwx99
    holy crap what a trend
  7. brooklynwx99
    i don’t think anyone here wants any of that right now lmao
  8. brooklynwx99
    EPS has some retrograding Scandi ridge action happening which is always nice
  9. brooklynwx99
    more favorable interaction with the TPV lobe
  10. brooklynwx99
    i think we know where this is going
  11. brooklynwx99
    pretty much splits the difference between 12/18z. about what I would expect
  12. brooklynwx99
    i would urge caution at this point given that it’s just one run with a jump like this but the 12z GEPS also shot north and the ICON had a similar evolution with a lobe of the TPV tilting the trough
  13. brooklynwx99
    i didn’t want to ruffle any feathers with that stuff lmao
  14. brooklynwx99
    trend with the confluence is clear as day on the EPS
  15. brooklynwx99
    EPS with a huge shift. much less confluence and a stronger vort
  16. brooklynwx99
    wow ECMWF. significant change with the confluence
  17. brooklynwx99
    my thoughts haven’t changed all that much
  18. brooklynwx99
    if i'm going to be in your head this much you could at least ask me to pay you rent
  19. brooklynwx99
    exactly, amped means something. better than a weak POS
  20. brooklynwx99
    honestly, even if this amps more and confluence ticks north, there's enough cold in place that I don't see how you guys wouldn't at least get a front end +SN thump to usher in the pattern. the antecedent airmass is very cold
  21. brooklynwx99
    straight out of the MA weenie handbook
  22. brooklynwx99
    those are heights, not thicknesses. it’s a very cold setup
  23. brooklynwx99
    straight out of the Mid-Atlantic weenie handbook
  24. brooklynwx99
    yeah, this is a pretty sick hemispheric signal as the block decays and PNA spikes around that time. definitely the larger scale threat
  25. brooklynwx99
    NE doesn't need a -NAO whatsoever... most of BOS's major storms have no correlation with the NAO. they're all -EPO/+PNA driven
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