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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. ECMWF is making favorable changes at 12z... much stronger and farther E PNA ridging, block is farther W and there's a lot more confluence going under it even if the end result isn't huge, this helps take the cutter off the table
  2. snowiest GEFS run by far, pretty much doubling 12z yesterday. 4-6" on a mean at this range is very rare
  3. not one for snow maps, but 5-7" on an ensemble mean at this range is nuts. basically doubled from 12z yesterday
  4. i get what you mean. I just meant that the favorable pattern is here right when everyone said it would be minus like 2-3 days. lots of people did a great job with that and now we have a system with nuke potential to track
  5. the exact result doesn't even matter that much. all that matters is that this is an absolutely classic look
  6. idk. i think the pattern supports this kind of outcome. we'll see where we're at on Monday but I don't see this vanishing into thin air
  7. the OP run verbatim isn’t really the point. seeing a 500mb configuration like that is incredible. it shows up for the largest events
  8. this is classic. not much else to say… God tier run coming
  9. looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
  10. looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
  11. looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
  12. nothing quite says snow like screaming 40 mph winds off the 50 degree ocean
  13. this is one of the most insane signals i’ve ever seen, no joke. the upper low is already closing off on the mean
  14. the 50/50 popping up thanks to the increasingly strong block really helps you guys. this is a tremendous storm signal if the blocking forces it underneath, there’s basically no ceiling to this setup haha
  15. i really like the 23rd now that the block has gotten stronger. completely flipped the downstream pattern - went from a WAR to a 50/50
  16. most of the members are now offshore as a result
  17. the EPS has trended much more favorably with the blocking and the resulting confluence. this increases the chance of the 500mb ULL to slip underneath and really raises the ceiling
  18. confluence is much stronger this run due to the better block. this greatly increases the odds of the ULL going underneath
  19. EPS is much more favorable with the confluence ahead of the system of interest… thank the stronger blocking. it’s really a gorgeous block
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