ECMWF is making favorable changes at 12z... much stronger and farther E PNA ridging, block is farther W and there's a lot more confluence going under it
even if the end result isn't huge, this helps take the cutter off the table
i get what you mean. I just meant that the favorable pattern is here right when everyone said it would be minus like 2-3 days. lots of people did a great job with that
and now we have a system with nuke potential to track
looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
the 50/50 popping up thanks to the increasingly strong block really helps you guys. this is a tremendous storm signal
if the blocking forces it underneath, there’s basically no ceiling to this setup haha
the EPS has trended much more favorably with the blocking and the resulting confluence. this increases the chance of the 500mb ULL to slip underneath and really raises the ceiling