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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    yup, the CMC is insane, very similar to 00z yesterday
  2. brooklynwx99
    also the CMC is still absurd. might be to the west verbatim but I don’t care. this is sick at 500mb and closely resembles 00z
  3. brooklynwx99
    this is why I hate hate hate when people say -NAOs are overrated. bullshit. this thing would be over the Dakotas and we’d be in the 70s if not for it instead, it might actually force a 3 sigma trough to the south. unreal
  4. brooklynwx99
    any strong wave versus this block is basically an immovable object versus a not completely unstoppable force (the vort). a block of this magnitude will win the vast majority of the time look at the persistent negative height anomalies from the gyre in the N Atl
  5. brooklynwx99
    any strong wave versus this block is basically an immovable object versus a not completely unstoppable force (the vort). a block of this magnitude will win the vast majority of the time look at the persistent negative height anomalies from the gyre in the N Atl
  6. brooklynwx99
    look at the NW flow in place over the NE US. this is not gonna be a typical solution that you’d see with a S/W that strong over the SW US. this might just go underneath
  7. brooklynwx99
    that still doesn’t even look bad with the absolutely insane block in place. let the run play out and then look at the ENS
  8. brooklynwx99
    here come the sweeping freakouts over one OP run
  9. brooklynwx99
    the blocking also got stronger so I don’t mind that shift I’d rather a vigorous wave coming out of the west than a piece of crap
  10. brooklynwx99
    EPS gone wild. like holy crap
  11. brooklynwx99
    absolutely insane signal for this range
  12. brooklynwx99
    this still looks amazing. wow
  13. brooklynwx99
    the EPS made a pretty significant shift towards a farther SW 50/50 that would help suppress height rises ahead of the main S/W overall, still looks mint
  14. brooklynwx99
    the EPS made a pretty significant shift towards a farther SW 50/50 that would help suppress height rises ahead of the main S/W overall, still looks mint
  15. brooklynwx99
    EPS runs inland but the 500mb is super ripe for a major storm. fine for this range
  16. brooklynwx99
    the major storm signal is still there… all that matters at this range. let’s see what the EPS does in a bit
  17. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF looks good so far
  18. brooklynwx99
    the GEFS has pretty much totally caved to the EPS/GEPS with its handling of the WC S/W. looks like next weekend is now a legit threat given that the models are kicking a shortwave under the block this is probably the highest potential pattern since March 2018. there will be multiple opportunities for high-end threats
  19. brooklynwx99
    meteorological intuition won out. thank God lmao I was honestly getting a bit worried for a little while
  20. brooklynwx99
    nice subtle shift here to provide more wave spacing with the 50/50
  21. brooklynwx99
    this is the most loaded pattern I have seen since 2016, probably. multiple opportunities for high-end threats
  22. brooklynwx99
    GEFS has finally come full circle to the EPS/GEPS. astounding
  23. brooklynwx99
    what in God’s name
  24. brooklynwx99
    MUCH more amped S/W diving into the Rockies on this run. there has been a total cave by the GEFS today. it’s not really a question at this point IMO. something will pop on many members this run
  25. brooklynwx99
    here’s the main thing IMO… look at the trend to have less and less interaction between the ULL in the Pacific and our S/W of interest, as well as the stronger blocking this lack of interaction (now even a ridge on the 00z run today!) allows for the S/W to escape E rather than get sucked W. this is a huge development towards the more favorable foreign models
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