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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    meteorological intuition won out. thank God lmao I was honestly getting a bit worried for a little while
  2. brooklynwx99
    nice subtle shift here to provide more wave spacing with the 50/50
  3. brooklynwx99
    this is the most loaded pattern I have seen since 2016, probably. multiple opportunities for high-end threats
  4. brooklynwx99
    GEFS has finally come full circle to the EPS/GEPS. astounding
  5. brooklynwx99
    what in God’s name
  6. brooklynwx99
    MUCH more amped S/W diving into the Rockies on this run. there has been a total cave by the GEFS today. it’s not really a question at this point IMO. something will pop on many members this run
  7. brooklynwx99
    here’s the main thing IMO… look at the trend to have less and less interaction between the ULL in the Pacific and our S/W of interest, as well as the stronger blocking this lack of interaction (now even a ridge on the 00z run today!) allows for the S/W to escape E rather than get sucked W. this is a huge development towards the more favorable foreign models
  8. brooklynwx99
    it’s better than the GFS, i’d say so
  9. brooklynwx99
    this could be someone’s new avatar that is absurd lmao
  10. brooklynwx99
    the CMC does eject a stronger vort into the flow… this is really what does it
  11. brooklynwx99
    this doesn’t require any analysis. holy shit.
  12. brooklynwx99
    yeah I think this continues to move towards the EPS/GEFS line of thinking. definitely not in the other direction
  13. brooklynwx99
    either way, the main thing will be how the ENS behave. this is such a cracked out and exotic pattern that the OP runs are going to vary wildly
  14. brooklynwx99
    we FINALLY have actual vorticity in the flow on the GFS. can’t believe the day is here
  15. brooklynwx99
    fuck the R train LMAO also my name is Kyle
  16. brooklynwx99
    oh shit. it might actually send a legit vort into the blocked flow. differences from 18z are night and day
  17. brooklynwx99
    wow. this is way different. game on if that southern piece gets booted east
  18. brooklynwx99
    I wouldn’t be so sure with the suppressive pattern. this is probably as good of a pattern as possible for you guys to get late season snow
  19. brooklynwx99
    GFS looks like it’ll eject a healthier vort. block is stronger too
  20. brooklynwx99
    haha i am living in Morristown 95% of the time tho. grew up in Brooklyn and moved out to the burbs for work anyway, hopefully we keep the momentum going. the whole MA needs it (yes, including NYC haha)
  21. brooklynwx99
    thank you! posters from way back when helped me do the same when I was a kid so i try and help others gain the same insights that I did! they’re fascinating. and trust me, I learn every day both at my job and even here
  22. brooklynwx99
    it’s pretty much the same. not really worth posting about
  23. brooklynwx99
    some people, like myself and a handful of others, find the way weather patterns evolve interesting and try and forecast them. and then try and determine threats and track them too
  24. brooklynwx99
    haha trust me, myself and some others here have been tracking this threat window since the SSWE popped up on radar. this threat window is like a month in the making lmao
  25. brooklynwx99
    looks like the GEFS is finally caving towards the EPS/GEPS with its handling of the WC S/W it now has a legitimate storm signal with multiple <980 SLPs that are suppressed. this is the ideal spot for the GEFS to be IMO. strong and suppressed. this is the first run that has had anything close to this kind of coastal signal
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