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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    eh, I'm curious to see how long it holds steady. Shrunk the bullseye and generally lowered totals across the board (bad) but maintains the same general look.
  2. NorthArlington101
    yep - it and its cousin, the HDRPS. They are fun to look at but clearly a little quirky.
  3. NorthArlington101
    NAM is coming in much more amped. Should be a better run. A significant step in the right direction from the nothingburger it tossed out at 06z.
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
    Thanks Ravens!
  6. NorthArlington101
    Nice GIF/analysis from Webb. Wouldn’t mind it trending a *little* more south.
  7. NorthArlington101
  8. NorthArlington101
    00z NAM (yes, I know) is also looking too weak and suppressed to amount to much.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Suppressed?
  10. NorthArlington101
    Of course I don’t actually believe it has impact on the weather. But it also does.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Pretty substantial run-to-run shift. 12z 18z
  12. NorthArlington101
    Moving this here -- I like having one sooner (like 3 days out) rather than later just to better archive discussion. It's fun reading back on old events/seeing old model runs and that's hard when it's all in one LR thread. That said, it's a proven jinx so it should've be done until the short-range, which we aren't in yet.
  13. NorthArlington101
    We’re close. Maybe 3 days out…
  14. NorthArlington101
    Pretty sure you swim club - if you haven’t figured it out yet, unless you are like truly exceptional, you are probably gonna be dropping time maybe 4x a year in your best events. Being close to your time at a high school meet is all you can really ask for, lol. Conditions are not ideal and you aren’t close to tapered.
  15. NorthArlington101
    The GEPS (minus P03, I suppose) promises wintery weather next Wednesday. If this fails... blame Canada!
  16. NorthArlington101
    Long as we ignore the 18z run - sorta actually it was kinda close
  17. NorthArlington101
    scrolled to the 06z run and thought it was a massive improvement snowmap wise — went back to 00z and it’s about the same if not slightly worse, though the 12z gives some more wiggle room. still, provides a fair bit of hope. Lot of models with a good stripe through the area, sorta feast-or-famine though.
  18. NorthArlington101
    I don't have your elephant memory but it's the best run of the past few cycles - seems the way we win here is more suppressed and somewhat strung out rather than a massive storm that lucks out, though I would like to see exactly how the UKIE pulled it off.
  19. NorthArlington101
    EURO is a step in the right direction. We can pretend that satisfies us and move on
  20. NorthArlington101
    Not to dissuade people from subscribing since they deserve it, but adblockers do the job well.
  21. NorthArlington101
    probably, but the UKIE and GEFS look decently wintry, as does (your favorite model) the ICON. Almost sounds like a consensus when you put it like that. Almost.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Pretty substantial change from 00z.
  23. NorthArlington101
    didn’t we just see a tweet from someone talking about how the CMC was one of the better global models at this point? either way, the icon is on board to, so we are set
  24. NorthArlington101
  25. NorthArlington101
    CMC is delayed but again more suppressed. Snow spreading through Central VA with the mix line not looking too far behind at hr126. mix line stays south of CHO through hr132. This is gonna be a nice run (for out first storm)
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