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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    TW just outside of CHO left to expire. While I'm listing storms to watch, the one outside Lake Monticello has space to work and some low-level rotation. RIC storm has looked better, still surprised it didn't get warned.
  2. NorthArlington101
    that one is looking hooky now too... it's probably gonna get TW'd storm W of Middleburg is also worth watching
  3. NorthArlington101
    Definitely some rotation in that storm, looks like it wants to wrap up on the S end a bit. edit: there's the TOR warn
  4. NorthArlington101
    Storm by Richmond, VA gonna need a TW.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Looks like a hook south of Crozet... really too bad radar coverage sucks down here. Not sure why there is all this empty space below my post, really annoying.
  6. NorthArlington101
    CHO under a STW, TW very close by. First STW I’ve had on-Grounds.
  7. NorthArlington101
    4 active warnings in Virginia now. Not bad.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Tornado warning for just west of Amherst, on route to CHO eventually. Not in a a great radar coverage area.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Just outside of CHO tonight.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Is that coming off the Broadcastify stream?
  11. NorthArlington101
    Debris ball definitely got more intense... geez.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Lots of the area covered in the Day 7 SPC outlook, 15%, looks like sloppy thirds from another eastern Plains/Dixie outbreak next week. ```...DISCUSSION... Medium-range models continue to depict progression of a highly amplified upper trough across the U.S. through the Day 4-8 period. While differences are rather substantial with respect to the initial strength of this trough -- and thus its associated surface reflection -- as it exits the Rockies and moves into the Plains Day 5 (Wednesday 4-17), evolution/progression of the upper system thereafter is reasonably similar as it traverses the central and eastern U.S. through the end of the period. Given the amplitude of the trough, and accompanying/well-developed surface system, a favorably strong wind field will accompany the progression of this system, along with ample northward advection of Gulf moisture. As such, it appears that a kinematic and thermodynamic environment supportive of severe storms (and all modes of severe weather) will exist each day -- and therefore 15% risk areas are being added. Though model differences continue to cast some uncertainty as to location of the daily risk, as well as the magnitude, it appears that any risk Day 4 (Tuesday 4-16) will be limited. Day 5 (Wednesday 4-17) however, as the upper trough advances more fully into the central U.S., risk for severe weather is evident from roughly the Mid-Missouri Valley south across eastern portions of the Plains, and eastward to roughly the Mississippi Valley. Day 6 (Thursday 4-18), the risk should extend from roughly the Mississippi Valley to the Appalachians, and as far north as the Midwest states. Day 7 (Friday 4-19), risk should exist primarily east of the mountains. Finally, by Day 8 (Saturday 4-20), the front will likely be advancing offshore, and thus diminished potential is apparent. ..Goss.. 04/13/2019```
  13. NorthArlington101
    Oh man, what a night. Too bad we have classes tomorrow. Wahoowa!
  14. NorthArlington101
    Hoo man, ups and downs. Feeling good though.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Wahoowa! If you don’t hear from me again... we rioted.
  16. NorthArlington101
    When I’m outside in the summer I’m in a pool 90% of the time — it’s the only way I can bear it. I’m definitely not a fan of humidity!
  17. NorthArlington101
    I know you are all rooting for UVA tonight. Keep us in your thoughts. [emoji16]
  18. NorthArlington101
    81/59. Gross.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Well celebrations are an all day event. More concerned about standing outside the stadium between 6:00-8:00 to get in the building. Camping outside is less fun in the rain.
  20. NorthArlington101
    No thank you 3k. When UVA wins the championship we need to be able to be outside.
  21. NorthArlington101
    what a night! [emoji840][emoji841][emoji840][emoji841]
  22. NorthArlington101
    go HOOS [emoji840][emoji841]
  23. NorthArlington101
    New NWS national forecast maps are super sleek. Really nice product. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php
  24. NorthArlington101
    Couple flurries in CHO.
  25. NorthArlington101
    well, 18z EURO gets precip further north and west by 20-30 miles compared to 12z. things are still shifting a little. Bigger deal for Boston, although it is 60 later that same day.
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