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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    It's all about expectations... people have been reading of an epic few weeks and seeing the first storm trend into 48 hour storm that only puts down 5" in some spots isn't all that exciting. I'm still not good at learning to not buy into the weenie runs so I don't personally judge others who get sucked in and disappointed. I sorta wish people would scream into their pillows instead of venting here but there are worse ways to get rid of anger then by using uppercase letters!
  2. NorthArlington101
    12z: 06z:
  3. NorthArlington101
    Part 2:
  4. NorthArlington101
    Tough to draw the line but I'd call all of this "wave one."
  5. NorthArlington101
    Rain/snow line is well south of DC. Bisects Cville and stays along that E/W line.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Seems to be 6 hours ahead of schedule of 06z.
  7. NorthArlington101
    hah, no worries. It's a good reminder. That's why I often just post the maps and allow them to speak for themselves... often times when I try to call it a good run I get comments from the one part of the forum it wasn't a great run for, lol.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Isn't it like 5-5.5" up there on the UKMET? A pretty forgivable "mistake" to round that up to 6-10" considering that is the result in 90% of the region.
  9. NorthArlington101
  10. NorthArlington101
  11. NorthArlington101
    This look is basically identical from 00z. Good to see some sort of consistency.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, this ended up being a banner run for DC-south. Very much ended up as psu being fringed. Kuchera clown maps have CHO at 16”, DC at 14”, Balt at 8”, and PSU-Ville at 5. My bias is kicking in, but I darn sure hope that’s the outcome.
  13. NorthArlington101
    EURO looks essentially the same when it comes to positioning (maybe slightly more south) as 18z but wetter.
  14. NorthArlington101
    I'm really ambivalent about this week. Love winter weather. Don't think I love ice. Looking forward to a prolonged wintry period but I don't need sleet/FRZA hell.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Welp, looking like I should order an ice scraper for my car. Lotta ice in Central VA on that run. Great fun for wintery precip as a whole.
  16. NorthArlington101
  17. NorthArlington101
    I find this graphic best for showing the "monster" potential. DC-south (really I-81) has the best shot right now if you believe the ens.
  18. NorthArlington101
  19. NorthArlington101
    For some people it is! 12z: 06z:
  20. NorthArlington101
  21. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, I think so. If I believe the WxBell maps I (CHO-south) might be ice from hrs 84-96, but it seems light. Maybe lose .2"-.3" to ice?
  22. NorthArlington101
    I'll just sign off now while I'm still somewhat ahead, but I'm admittedly posting with a somewhat Central VA inclination. I should know better and that the focus is DC-north. It's a fantastic run there. Never gonna be ice. Only issues with ice seem to be EZF south. Love the trend.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Peels out around hr117. Final maps.
  24. NorthArlington101
    sorry, I'll blame the tipsiness. Fredericksburg is what I meant.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Serious ice signal for those right on the edge. Not a hovering around freezing signal. A "you will be icing whether you want to or not" signal. Really hope the south push continues -- don't want that to be me.
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