KFOR just did a long cone, Childress/Gould cell would get to OKC metro area around 8:00CDT. That is the one to watch, IMO.
Not to take the conversation back to OT, but you can say that the high risk will bust without saying that there isn't a chance one storm comes along that leaves a trail of destruction. I think everyone knows it only takes one, but this event certaintly seems like it won't meet some expectations.