NorthArlington101

can’t hear you from underneath the 10” label /s

First wave is much jucier this run. 00z 18z:

more north.

Pretty clear differences in snow algorithm. I'd lean WxBell's since it seems grounded in reality.

Stormvista's EPS maps are... interesting. Same map from WxBell.

Wow, shows what I know about Texas geography. 2870'? Wouldn't have guessed anything near that.

18z EURO looked like it was about to hit us all with a decent ice storm on Saturday.

Looking at the snow maps, less amped might be the best way to put it. Not sure it really moved all that south... just not nearly as impressive. 18z 12z

It's south/less amped/whatever. Not good. 18z 12z

Got some bad news boss, looks like another jog south. I'll wait till the run is closer to done before making a firm assessment though.

12z comparison -- I'd say similar but 18z pushed northward ~25 miles.

I'd call this the first wave. Pretty weak sauce.

Through hr35 the 18z EURO has taken the slightest jog northward. No major changes so far, really.

WxBell's ICON clown map.

NAM has the goods south of D.C. for wave two.

Honestly, you are 100% right. I was complaining earlier this week when it seemed I might miss north and south and now I’m sorta asking people not to moan. That’s on me.

For sure! I'm excited by them, especially down here where they've been consistently good. That said, I'm trying to adopt a different mindset as of late. Taking a three hour walk through the past storms has really helped me just appreciate the beauty of it and not watch the radar. With the ultimately underwhelming compared to expectations storm this past Sunday, walking through the massive dendrites was just amazing. Didn't know what was coming up on the radar (not that the radar ever tells you what's happening down here in CHO) and just enjoyed it in the moment. that said the EURO has promised me 10"+ multiple runs in a row and if I get less than that...

It's all about expectations... people have been reading of an epic few weeks and seeing the first storm trend into 48 hour storm that only puts down 5" in some spots isn't all that exciting. I'm still not good at learning to not buy into the weenie runs so I don't personally judge others who get sucked in and disappointed. I sorta wish people would scream into their pillows instead of venting here but there are worse ways to get rid of anger then by using uppercase letters!

12z: 06z:

Part 2:

Tough to draw the line but I'd call all of this "wave one."

Rain/snow line is well south of DC. Bisects Cville and stays along that E/W line.

Seems to be 6 hours ahead of schedule of 06z.

hah, no worries. It's a good reminder. That's why I often just post the maps and allow them to speak for themselves... often times when I try to call it a good run I get comments from the one part of the forum it wasn't a great run for, lol.