Fair enough. Not that it happens this way, but a lot of this forum just needs precip to move in a few hours earlier. Ground temps are already frigid. All I'm saying is its trackable.
Looking through the models almost all of them have a 2" event for the favored spots... most get close to 1" in Baltimore.... surprised this place isn't hopping more. Shows how done we are with winter, I guess.
Anyways, here is the RGEM as well.
The GFS sucks but you have to appreciate it's commitment to the bit. It wants LWX to issue ISWs, lol.
Para is more reasonable but very likely also wrong.
HRRR throwing out a very rate dependent look. Pretty much says anyone DC south will start as sleet and flip between as rates improve/diminish. Some hilarious weenie panels in the run regardless. Really seems to have trouble with the 1hr snowfall rate when sleet is thrown in the mix.
HRRR nailed the storm last Thursday in this area FWIW. Was the first thing advertising 4-6". I like having it on our side in the short-range, it's done really well this winter as far as I can recall.