The perfect event is one that shows up 3 days out. 5 days out works. I just like seeing the UKIE actually be a good sign that the EURO will improve for once. I want a return to model normalcy.
The GEFS have been keying on that period as wintry -- maybe more ice than snow, but it's good to have something in the medium range to keep a lazy eye on.
You've been a fan of this pre-coastal stuff for a few days now - does it mean anything at all that the short-range models got the start time really wrong? Is this an earlier start, earlier finish kind of deal or is this "bonus."
Having to remind myself this is just bonus -- HRRR, which ain't doing great right now I'll admit, still gets us to 2.5" (seems extreme) but the best stuff isn't progged till like 7-8... that's what I'm telling myself at least