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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Making no statement on the H5/how close it is to something better: 00z actually had more snow for the DC/NOVA area than 12z. Compared to 6z, this run is pretty similar with the difference of a slightly more robust northern shield that goes thru Charlottesville and just being better organized, leading to a tighter looking/more intense snow band.
  2. Holds rather steady from 06z. Good storm for the Tidewater.
  3. I’ll try my hand — seeing some fairly marked differences between the GFS/CMC and EURO through hr63. Don’t think it’ll get there this time.
  4. Good discussion between Webb/Ant. Most of it goes over my head but for the interested:
  5. Based on snowfall maps alone, UKIE took a step in the right direction from 00z to 12z but keeps anything substantive closer to the Tidewater.
  6. Giggling a bit toggling the last two CMC runs. Just minor adjustments from our weather models ~3 days out.
  7. If this event somehow works out, ya’ll owe me for taking this trip to Puerto Rico. I’ll drop my Venmo and you can all send me a fiver.
  8. 12z CMC looks like a hit looking at the maps on Pivotal.
  9. I wouldn’t get excited if I was in the tidewater, either. GFS/RGEM being the only things that show substantial accumulation is iffy, IMO. Especially how heavy it shows it and with this being a rain/snow flaky situation. Not quite sure how models resolve when the changeover occurs.
  10. So sorry to hear that - my thoughts are with you and your family.
  11. EURO took maybe a slightly more NW jog, I can’t see many changes at 500mb but I’m hardly a pro. Surface map.
  12. Casual 12” in 6 hours down the mouth of the Potomac verbatim. Probably a red flag, honestly. Good luck to everyone, though! Cheering you on from Puerto Rico. Would make sense if it snowed while I was away, I’m a notorious jinx.
  13. (At least) one more picture, then I’ll stop taunting ya’ll. 84 degrees and unbelievably pleasant.
  14. I think I’ve forgotten what a coating of snow looks like… 40 and doing nothing in Arlington.
  15. Wildest fantasy week in a while. So few touchdowns, so many odd performances.
  16. Discord is where I’m hoping people move once things eventually collapse (which I hope isn’t for a long time). It’s a nice blend between social media and a forum.
  17. First event of the season will probably be stumbled into 4 days out. Couldn’t care less about the pattern for January at this moment.
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