NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Slightly over an inch of sleet. Didn’t even get the full sleet bomb experience. Would’ve liked two.
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Not a great day for the PARA
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At least all this sleet makes for a really unique event. That’s about the only positive I got.
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I’ve got class so I couldn’t stay up all night but it looks like we had maybe a trace-.5” of snow and right now it’s just dumping sleet in CHO.
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HRRR throwing out a very rate dependent look. Pretty much says anyone DC south will start as sleet and flip between as rates improve/diminish. Some hilarious weenie panels in the run regardless. Really seems to have trouble with the 1hr snowfall rate when sleet is thrown in the mix.
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HRRR nailed the storm last Thursday in this area FWIW. Was the first thing advertising 4-6". I like having it on our side in the short-range, it's done really well this winter as far as I can recall.
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.8" of QPF that is all happening below 32? sign me up. I'd like more but if that's the low-end amount I think we should all be okay.
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fair enough, but the extra 1" over 20 hours in DC doesn't make me jump with joy, especially since I'm down there in CHO. It does make the map look nicer though and gets JI closer to not having Loudoun County single moms and teachers burning a Ji effigy
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Yikes hope you didn't promise the teachers too much snow. Pretty similar run overall, as others said maybe a step towards the longer storm the CMC/RGEM show. I'd take it but my expectations are slightly higher, not gonna lie.
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"Part 1"
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Thought there was a chance I had spoken too soon. That's quite the long break there... didn't realize it was almost 24 hours apart.
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Not sure it's gonna end up being a break. Doesn't seem like second wave works out this run.
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Down in CHO it looks like a sleet bomb, but my takeaway was similar to yours. Pretty snowy run. Warm nose looked fairly marginal and it seems as long as rates are good sleet could be overcome.
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I like David Reese! If you scroll up in the thread he makes a "gun to his head" guess.
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It's a win for the few but not for the many! I'll take the 3" sleet bomb I suppose. I've never seen anything like it so I'd be curious about the experience!
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Probably depends a lot on which algorithm each site uses. Could be tough snow/sleet until the last minute.
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12z 06z @Bob Chill
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Flips back to snow at the end. That's a nice trend.
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Sure, but all that precip has to fall as something. I don't think we'll get 10" of snow, but I think we are looking at an almost all winter precip event. 1" of sleet and a light glaze is probably an undersell. The truth is in the middle somewhere.
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Well if we take the rest of the run literally...
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