Making no statement on the H5/how close it is to something better: 00z actually had more snow for the DC/NOVA area than 12z. Compared to 6z, this run is pretty similar with the difference of a slightly more robust northern shield that goes thru Charlottesville and just being better organized, leading to a tighter looking/more intense snow band.
I wouldn’t get excited if I was in the tidewater, either. GFS/RGEM being the only things that show substantial accumulation is iffy, IMO. Especially how heavy it shows it and with this being a rain/snow flaky situation. Not quite sure how models resolve when the changeover occurs.
Casual 12” in 6 hours down the mouth of the Potomac verbatim. Probably a red flag, honestly. Good luck to everyone, though! Cheering you on from Puerto Rico. Would make sense if it snowed while I was away, I’m a notorious jinx.
Discord is where I’m hoping people move once things eventually collapse (which I hope isn’t for a long time). It’s a nice blend between social media and a forum.