NorthArlington101

Huge shift on the GEPS, FWIW 12Z: 00Z:

UKIE with a big jump but not all the way there. 12z 00z

UVA folks have to stick together. I'll let you in on the snow too.

Yeah, my main concern is that this becomes a NW crew storm, which is funny to say when the EURO and CMC currently still have it too far SE, lol.

Easy to look at the Canadian and say it wasn't a hit, but the trend is there.

ICON is a good model every once in awhile. Past two years with it I've found its best use is sniffing things out early. Fairly sure that at some point a few years ago @stormtracker pronounced ICON a valid model to discuss. Was a big win for the weenie modeling community.

We've seen example after example of how the GEFS sucks, but this mean is still really sweet.

I'm just using the power of positive thinking. Worked well with the last storm. Hope we all cash in.

ICON:

Sorry... just letting you guys know right now that I'm calling this Sunday storm. CHO jackpot. We'll check in with this in four days.

Time to be selfish brother. Let’s jackpot on this one.

EURO says no (and it's not particularly close) but it took a nice NW jog compared to 18z and 12z. Trend is our friend. 00z: 18z: 12z:

If there is one model trend we can count on, it’s the GFS bumping northward/northwestward in the last 72 hours of a storm. It happens every single time.

Sig updated! 6" in CHO and 6.6" in Arlington. Feel good about my contest numbers. This is gonna be my year.

Thanks, that is the graph I saw in the tweet!

I can't find the tweet I saw so take this with a large grain of salt but I'm pretty sure the Para had pretty solid verification scores for this past storm.

Cant resist throwing in my two cents: I started posting here when I was 12, I think. Could’ve been 13. Regardless, I’m sure I looked stupid. I distinctly remember talking with Ian, which I thought was so cool since I recognized the name from CWG, but I doubt those conversations actually went well. Since he’s rarely here anymore, you guys can blame me for him mostly leaving, lol. Regardless, I’d like to think that over the past seven or eight years, I’ve become a better poster. I’m still not a meteorologist. I honestly probably couldn’t tell you WSW criteria off the top of my head for LWX, especially with (I think) it being different in different zones - but I’ll guess 5” in 24 hours. This forum has made me a much better weather enthusiast. I get to sometimes write things for the Capital Weather Gang because you all made me a better/more knowledgeable poster. You guys fueled my interest in weather and made me want to become better. It would suck to scare someone off because they are too young or don’t have good grammar. Most of you are probably lucky this forum wasn’t around when you were in your early teens and wanted to meet likeminded folks.

Family says new snow of 1.25” overnight. Puts the overall total in Arlington close to 5”.

Woah, this is crazy good. I’d genuinely be interested in a print if that was something you did. Feel free to message me.

The band somehow made it down here. Real light snow in CHO.