NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Through 68 it looks UKIE-ish with a better Central VA WAA thump. Here's hoping it continues to follow that progression.
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Looked bad as soon as it initialized. Least we can go to bed early.
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This is all the WAA. If Central VA isn't gonna get the CCB... this is a decent compromise.
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FWIW, there are definitely GEFS members that do this. Any member that is mostly blue - that's (WAA only) what happened.
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It's been doing that for awhile now. It'll either score a coup or be way out to lunch. Any love on the backend is probably a step in the right direction from its previous runs.
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00Z CMC is mostly out here and it's actually not gonna make many friends. Big north jump, not really a significant deform band, main show would be the WAA.
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As I'm watching the 00z CMC slowly trickle in, I flipped back to 12z. The 12z CMC run (which ended up being pretty solid) had GFS as rain/sleet for 16 hours, FWIW. Point not being to deb, but note that we've had really good runs of some (slightly better) models that force DCA to rain in the lull.
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I don't think most would want to toss this tbh
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EPS brought back some of the crazy solutions FWIW. Not a lot but there are a handful of 2'ers
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snow jealousy is what keeps us all here... the need for snow in our backyards at all times. IDGAF if it snows one block over if it snows in my yard. And I’d also like to be the jackpot always.
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18z also looks great at 90. Slightly mixy but the coastal transfer looks like it's already starting to paying dividends.
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18z EURO amps up the thump for the Central VA folks. Solid stuff for almost everyone here except maybe one guy... can't recall his name.
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12 hours or so to go at this point but this is the best map I've got... the next one brings it out to 240hrs so I don't think its worth sharing. Not super relevant to us but it nukes NYC.
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Psu is a stalwart member of the forum and I wish him the best of luck in this storm and every storm in the future but every hour I'm praying this storm gets booted 50-150 more miles south to counteract the inevitable north jog in the last 24 hours.
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Hmmm... think I might need to try and find a way to stay in Arlington for this one. Not sure I can risk missing out on a +48hr event by traveling down to Cville. Sorry to the Arlington folks I may be jinxing and congrats to the Cville folks who are now the jackpot zone.
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It basically compressed all the snow PA north and shoved it into VA and gave us all a nice uniform 8-10"+. PSU probably sweating suppression but I'll be frank and say I'm rooting for it. UKIE looked great to me.
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Strange how it pulls that off with the LP here but I guess I'm not complaining.
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I think(?) the 12z CMC is out to 120 on this site: https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
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goodnight all!
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I'd appreciate a jog or three south but beggars can't be choosers. Warning level storm CHO-north, jackpots the usual areas... seems like this run has as good a chance to play out as any.
