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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Someone smarter than me can chime in but I don't think this is one of those scenarios. Think we'd need the high QPF/rates from the NAM to give those outside of the favored areas a chance at a boom.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Checking on the QPF, the NAM is an outlier, but it's not like it would take a crazy jump to get the other guidance in line. 50 or less miles north isn't a totally unreasonable ask...
  3. NorthArlington101
    NAM nailed January 2016 [emoji6]
  4. NorthArlington101
    WB has 6-7” for DCA before the FRZA, lol.
  5. NorthArlington101
    HRRR is pretty much snow/sleet to dry slot for those DC north. Doesn’t really get going till tomorrow evening... got some room to trend chillier.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Flurries.
  7. NorthArlington101
    The math says it didn’t matter much. Taking the FG brought it to a 5 point game - 2pt conversion odds are pretty terrible usually. Gave their D a chance, which had been calling TB12’s number all game, and basically gave them 4 timeouts to work with since the 2 minute warning hadn’t been called. I liked the decision personally.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Vegas might get as much snow as we do this week.
  9. NorthArlington101
    I’m told it’s flurrying in Cville. Add a T to the board.
  10. NorthArlington101
    I know most of it is virga anyways but it’s sorta funny.
  11. NorthArlington101
    I know most of it is virga anyways but it’s sorta funny.
  12. NorthArlington101
    GFS has this activity making it into the metro layer this evening. Fingers crossed.
  13. NorthArlington101
    That 18z NAM might be the best digital snow fix we’ll get all week.
  14. NorthArlington101
    18z HRRR has a solid 2-4” thump for those north of DC.
  15. NorthArlington101
    I don't think there is an EPS member that totally blanks us. Said it late last night, but I'd take the EPS' 1" of cold snow on Thursday.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Is there still a chance that the reduced amount of plane flights globally is making the quality of data lower across the board? Probably less of an issue now than there was in the spring but I can't help but wonder.
  17. NorthArlington101
    aren’t you currently under a WSW?
  18. NorthArlington101
    I’m definitely in the bargaining stage but looking at the EURO... there are worse things than 12 hours of snow when it’s subfreezing. Sure it’s the lightest snow of all time, but I’d probably take that run begrudgingly given that I still think 0” is a real possibility.
  19. NorthArlington101
    No way to know how this ends up, but EURO has caved to the GFS over the course of the day in the sense that it actually has a significant coastal. I'd still hate to be the guy betting against the EURO/UKIE combo, regardless of how I've felt they've done this year. See ya'll in the morning.
  20. NorthArlington101
    The sucker north of the Great Lakes. Much further south than 12z. 00z 12z
  21. NorthArlington101
    EURO faked me out. Decently colder in the 10-12 hours pre storm but looks slightly warmer this run as precip is falling. Might just be a lack of heavy precip during the initial thump.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Tough game for UVA. Win is a win though.
  23. NorthArlington101
    3k is great for MD. Think it was a step in the right direction. Plenty of time for this to get colder.
  24. NorthArlington101
    12k NAM looks onboard with the thump. Surface looks slightly warmer but 850s slightly colder. Hopefully the NAMs smarter brother joins in.
  25. NorthArlington101
    EURO holding steady with the front-end thump. 2-4” Alexandria north with the exception of NE Maryland.
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