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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Little more trend and maybe we can get the tip of the deform band. Maybe... EURO has us snowing lightly till 5:00pm which impressed me. Totals looked good too. HRRRish
  2. HRRR continues to look thumpy for the small Cville/Staunton crowd.
  3. I'm hugging the F out of the HRRR. 6.2" w/ Kuchera in my backyard by 9:00am and no mix with precip to go.
  4. GFS is acceptable for me. My bar in CHO is 5” on the thump. All else is gravy. I can be a superstitious sacrifice as long as I get 5”.
  5. I'm inches from getting back in my car
  6. Fair enough -- it's something I should expect. 3k NAM's thump looks great for DC. Lot like it's brother. Not as good in my locale.
  7. 3k sucked for the WAA for Charlottesville. I'm already gonna lose it
  8. I dunno if the original complaint was directed at me, but down here in Charlottesville I just don't want to mix with the WAA. IDAGF if I mix on anything I'd get Monday/Tuesday.
  9. Hoping its wrong about the flip to sleet down in Central VA. Doesn't show up in other guidance. eh, that's kind of a lie. It does. I just hope its wrong.
  10. Officially in my house in Charlottesville. Bought a mini weather station so I can hopefully get good temp/dew point obs but honestly I'll probably be a weenie and just take obs from the coldest station nearby. 42/9. Might be some virga for awhile tonight.
  11. It’s never to close for good news IMO. Definitely more wet for everyone which is great news.
  12. Not gonna be able to come on this forum for two days if my snow ends Sunday and DC-north is getting deformed for 36 hours straight
  13. Nothing like people chatting about thundersnow potential near Rockville when I’m 20 minutes out from Charlottesville... the jinx is already working.
  14. Looks real close to 06z on the snow maps, basically no difference. Still 10” for DCA which is nothing to shrug off.
  15. That said if the EURO shows an RGEM situation the chauffeur knows we are turning around
  16. I’m on I-66 going down to Charlottesville (not texting and driving... mom is taking me down since my brother went early) so I promise you it’s coming down to NOVA.
  17. I think I’m on the way. Might end up turning around but I think I’m on the way
  18. Well the RGEM just threw a wrench in my plans. If I missed that storm... not sure I could forgive myself.
  19. Welp, at the moment I’m packing for Cville. Too many shifts in the models and I think I want the near-assured WAA thump. 12z has two hours to change my mind.
  20. Confidence definitely did not change overnight. Bummer.
  21. Winners of this run might be the people who went to sleep already.
  22. Central VA seemed to lose 1-2” on the thump on this 00z EURO run. Real bummer.
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