Running four degrees below NWS forecast, which is pretty solid. Hourly forecast has us getting rain for a solid part of the front, so minimizing temps as much as possible is going to be key. 28/19
It’s definitely interesting. Don’t know if it’s a sort of coastal element taking over or the precip needing time to reform over the mountains. It also seems to not be as cold in Charlottesville. We’ll see.
dang. Not quite sure why this front doesn't seem to want to work out for Central VA but it really does not. 3K NAM straight blanked me. Still time to change.
CHO hole =(
It's a solid run though. Not even sure that the WxBell Kuchera is counting all the precip as snow -- for whatever reason the Ptype depiction has spots flipping to rain at the end.
I’ve personally repeatedly honked that the ICON is fantastic at sniffing things out in the medium range. That said, I certainty only remember the times it has vs. the times it hasn’t. ICON has definitely popped storms that fail to come to fruition. . Pro
It’s not going to be a surprise snowstorm but there should be some freezing drizzle issues on Wednesday. Might be spotty but as some have noticed the NAMs and other high-res models have been hinting at it. Reminds me a little of last years mini-ice events where we accreted above 32 due to a frigid precious air mass. Ground is frozen and lots of us won’t make it above 32 tomorrow. + undermodeled CAD... probably some slipperiness.
Moon was cool. A lot of cold college students outside staring at the sky. Fun night. Other then the Pats winning. With them and Duke winning, how many times can America lose?