Point-and-click (and the WSW) would suggest I've got a better shot at having fun/seeing snow in Charlottesville... but I think I'm too lazy to make the drive to see maybe an extra 1-2" with a crusty top. Feel like the boom odds might be slightly better in Arlington anyways. That's what I'm telling myself, at least.
Never got quite as warm today as it was supposed to -- missed the high by about 3 degrees.
38/22.
EURO went even more west. Would definitely an outlier in its 6z ensembles, but not sure that matters.
Still get 2" from the initial thump, even in the city. Better measure it before the rain begins to really ramp up.
I suppose it's not shocking that the HDRPS is cold on the surface. Unlike the CMC though, the HDRPS only drops DCA to 27/28 tonight (the actual forecasted low). Keeps DCA below zero till the end of its run (48) tomorrow though.
the meso-low @MN Transplant mentioned earlier may not be hurting us on temps too much on its own (though I don't think its helping) but it seemed to portend some crazy gusts.
2m temps are horrific, but looking back on it previous runs weren't that much better. 850 temps actually improved somehow.
edit: to clarify, it's very slight. but NW DC/down to the Mall or so doesn't lose 850s.