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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Didn’t the 06z EURO justify a widespread 4-6” swath? Anyways, it’s almost obs time given that I’m probably 16 hours from first flakes or so. 41/32 with high clouds. Sun not struggling to get through though.
  2. NorthArlington101
    where is snowchaser? I need good Charlottesville vibes to keep me going
  3. NorthArlington101
    I’m getting concerned about a legit ice/sleet storm down here in Central VA. Lots of guidance hitting us with hours of sleet/FRZA. CMC has me below freezing until 06z Thursday. Good news is it’s 63 by 18z haha.
  4. NorthArlington101
    HRDPS trying to figure out banding. It’s liked a south band and a north jackpot zone for a couple of runs.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Canadians (CMC, RGEM, HDRPS) seem to be the most aggressive with a widespread swath of snow and ice. I mean look at this FRZA output for Central VA. Crazy.
  6. NorthArlington101
  7. NorthArlington101
    That’s why you stay up all night [emoji14]
  8. NorthArlington101
    yeah it's a struggle. We need a dedicated play-by-play guy.
  9. NorthArlington101
    I don't want to call things off Pivotal maps but despite the early start I think we want to toss this run. Thump isn't very impressive. Warm push slightly faster.
  10. NorthArlington101
    3k gets snow into DCA by 09z. Into CHO by 06z. Not the most aggressive thump.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Let's just say Pivotal maps disagree. Has DCA flipping by 16z or so.
  12. NorthArlington101
    It's better than 18z but it's not quite the hefty storm some of the other short-range models have spit out. Thump doesn't have the longevity or the gusto of some other models. Good trends continue though. edit: I'm out to 39 on Pivotal. It's nothing amazing, I promise
  13. NorthArlington101
    if I trusted the HRRR at 31 hours I'd be celebrating!
  14. NorthArlington101
    36hr HRRR precip totals probably belong in banter... but this is a killer run. Easy 6-8"+ for all extrapolated.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Part of the precip that becomes the thump is notably east in Arkansas at hr19 on the NAM.
  16. NorthArlington101
    I regret nothing I said, it's the fact that it took over the conversation. So yeah, not me I guess. It was too cool not to share
  17. NorthArlington101
    Yuck, LWX is taking my snow north. Good thing we have precedent for a south trend given Saturday. Atmospheric memory, or something.
  18. NorthArlington101
    dang I really set people off with the 4” rates. I should know better
  19. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, I'm a student at UVA. I'm also feeling good about this one. 6"+ is bold, but last time you were posting (I think) was Dec 8th and you willed 12" to Charlottesville, so who am I to judge. Definitely looks sleety. I've never seen a real sleet storm.
  20. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, it actually did. If I was to wager though it was more because of it's overamped bias, took the storm more north than other models did. Not qualified to say though. Sorry, you only get 2" rates. Sucks to be on the north side of the max band /s HDRPS snow output, like the CMC, is genuinely all snow. None of this is sleet/ice.
  21. NorthArlington101
    It's an all time weenie run. I posted this in banter but it shows 4" an hour for CHO at the heart of the thump. And then it's sleet central. HDRPS isn't the worst model out there. Did well on the December storm.
  22. NorthArlington101
    This is an all-time weenie panel for CHO. 4" an hour rates
  23. NorthArlington101
    Don't know where the 18z RGEM is but the 18z HRDPS has me... um... interested to say the least
  24. NorthArlington101
    uh oh, it’s warm outside
  25. NorthArlington101
    Someone wanted this. Have to know who to ask. [emoji9]
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