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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Doesn't really get colder than 31 or so on the run, probably wouldn't accrete that well verbatim, especially since its coming down at a good clip and hasn't been that cold leading up to the event. Could be a decent tree glazer I suppose.
  2. NorthArlington101
    It’ll be tucked into the mouth of the Potomac soon
  3. NorthArlington101
    the early Monday stuff has shown up on various runs over the past few days. Might be the close burbs best shot at accumulating snow that won’t immediately get washed away.
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
  6. NorthArlington101
    Not any better than 06z for the cities and close burbs. Smidge worse, really. Bleeding continues. Bet it'll look alright for the favored spots.
  7. NorthArlington101
    My childhood wouldn't be the same without '09-'10. Probably the reason I'm on this forum right now.
  8. NorthArlington101
    CMC zoomed-in totals.
  9. NorthArlington101
    For posterity, the 12z GEFS. About a 2" jump on the snow mean.
  10. NorthArlington101
    GEFS snow mean notably ticked upwards. Looks colder. That said... I’m still out. [emoji6] Looking closer, it’s skewed by six/seven members. Nice to see a boom scenario in there I guess but hard to call the GEFS too enthused.
  11. NorthArlington101
    I guarantee that if the storm thread for the 25th was closed the models would shift better today.
  12. NorthArlington101
    I don’t want to speak for everyone else but my spirit is somewhat broken. Call me when it’s 6 hours out.
  13. NorthArlington101
    The cicadas in 2004 are some of my earliest memories. Was a lot of fun as a 4 year old. Not sure how I’ll feel this year as a 21 year old. Doubt I let them crawl all over me this time.
  14. NorthArlington101
    I guess verbatim it might end up similar to previous runs. some "ice" and then it wouldn't shock me if it pulls off snow at the end. least this storm is speeding up slightly every run. the pain will be over soon.
  15. NorthArlington101
    38 and rain is better than 32 and rain
  16. NorthArlington101
    all the makings of a disaster? semi /s but I've pulled out all my stocks on the first storm. everything I've got left is in the second one.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Not an in-depth analysis or anything but the 18z EPS looks warmer and maybe slightly more amped. Snow mean reflects that.
  18. NorthArlington101
    Talk about a narrow area that wins. Geez.
  19. NorthArlington101
    00z EURO looks to be an alright run but it's mighty close. Looks like rates save the day.
  20. NorthArlington101
    Step in the right direction from 12z though, no?
  21. NorthArlington101
    poor psu
  22. NorthArlington101
    bouta say, I might prefer the OG GFS. I'm just choosing to believe @psuhoffman and am running with the idea that the middle is a happy place to be.
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  25. NorthArlington101
    I agree in principle, but when you can't find at least one winner among all the GEFS members and there are a decent handful of stinkers in the 12z EPS (and now more in the 18z), I tend to align (perhaps incorrectly) with the more "consistent" guidance. I realize the GFS/GEFS has been inconsistent in why it's bad for us, but it's always bad for us.
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