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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    if all we're talking about is whether a thread should've been made Saturday - totally agree. it was too early. if we are complaining still.... I've got an issue with it. I just don't want to pick on one person primarily because they are young, enthusiastic, and want to get off on a good start by making a successful thread (which this wasn't -- wrong horse to bet on!). that was (and still is) me. I'm guessing the lesson has been learned without piling on.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Not this one, that’s for sure lol. But a couple weeks ago in banter we were pouring over the Jan 2016 threads. The consensus and scale there was a totally different scenario, but if we believed in jinxes too hard we would’ve had like 5 days of fun model runs and disco buried in the LR thread. That kinda sucks.
  3. NorthArlington101
    c’mon guys - lay off a bit. threads are good for archival purposes and keeping our discussions organized. it’s not like making a thread is a major use of time and resources. if we all truly knew this would be nothing of course there wouldn’t be a thread - but this seemed like a potential 1-3”/T-2 when it was made.
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
    RGEM got drier and shifted southward.
  6. NorthArlington101
    12z EURO denies the existence of a storm entirely. Almost too much of an outlier for me to be inclined to believe it, but I'm sure it'll be right this time. edit: it looked like it did on the 1hr maps - on the 6hr maps it seems to suggest some mood flakes. woo.
  7. NorthArlington101
    UKIE definitely did not cave but manages to drop T-1" through the most populated areas of the subforum so many folks might be happy with it anyway.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Canadian holds steady -- really a slight improvement even. Wetter across the board. 12z 00z
  9. NorthArlington101
    eh, I'm curious to see how long it holds steady. Shrunk the bullseye and generally lowered totals across the board (bad) but maintains the same general look.
  10. NorthArlington101
    yep - it and its cousin, the HDRPS. They are fun to look at but clearly a little quirky.
  11. NorthArlington101
    NAM is coming in much more amped. Should be a better run. A significant step in the right direction from the nothingburger it tossed out at 06z.
  12. NorthArlington101
  13. NorthArlington101
    Thanks Ravens!
  14. NorthArlington101
    Nice GIF/analysis from Webb. Wouldn’t mind it trending a *little* more south.
  15. NorthArlington101
  16. NorthArlington101
    00z NAM (yes, I know) is also looking too weak and suppressed to amount to much.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Suppressed?
  18. NorthArlington101
    Of course I don’t actually believe it has impact on the weather. But it also does.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Pretty substantial run-to-run shift. 12z 18z
  20. NorthArlington101
    Moving this here -- I like having one sooner (like 3 days out) rather than later just to better archive discussion. It's fun reading back on old events/seeing old model runs and that's hard when it's all in one LR thread. That said, it's a proven jinx so it should've be done until the short-range, which we aren't in yet.
  21. NorthArlington101
    We’re close. Maybe 3 days out…
  22. NorthArlington101
    Pretty sure you swim club - if you haven’t figured it out yet, unless you are like truly exceptional, you are probably gonna be dropping time maybe 4x a year in your best events. Being close to your time at a high school meet is all you can really ask for, lol. Conditions are not ideal and you aren’t close to tapered.
  23. NorthArlington101
    The GEPS (minus P03, I suppose) promises wintery weather next Wednesday. If this fails... blame Canada!
  24. NorthArlington101
    Long as we ignore the 18z run - sorta actually it was kinda close
  25. NorthArlington101
    scrolled to the 06z run and thought it was a massive improvement snowmap wise — went back to 00z and it’s about the same if not slightly worse, though the 12z gives some more wiggle room. still, provides a fair bit of hope. Lot of models with a good stripe through the area, sorta feast-or-famine though.
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