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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    You guys have tryouts? My high school took literally everyone for swim. You’ve clearly got it though, don’t even need the goggles — assuming you saw the girl in the Olympics who didn’t use them!
  2. NorthArlington101
    I love this weather. It can be in the 60s/70s or snow. No need for anything in the middle.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Gonna be a long year for UVA basketball…
  4. NorthArlington101
    Went camping last night (a mistake, brrr) but the frost down outside Richmond made it look like the first snowfall of the season. #worthit
  5. NorthArlington101
    Worse means than this in mid-Winter. Of course, the EPS has none of this and I know who I'd still bet the house on.
  6. NorthArlington101
    On the GEFS 18z, the whole period from hrs 240-300 have some interesting storms. Looks dynamic, for lack of a better buzzword.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Mostly interesting in the sense that a lot have "something" come through. This is just one panel, but some of the other ensembles have it +/- a day or so. Mostly rain, of course.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Some vaguely interesting GEFS members around Day 10. Ready to track a disappearing storm again.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Got upgraded to a Freeze Warning in Charlottesville. Winter is here!
  10. NorthArlington101
    Zoom is pretty great - I can also offer unlimited minutes (and I think unlimited people?) with the account I have with UVA.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Welp, not much to takeaway than I guess. I at least try to learn some early lessons, especially since I think this is our first year with just the updated GFS, but it all blurs together so I might be wrong. 18z GEFS shifted away from the existence of a storm at all Friday-Saturday. The few that do have a little bit of snow for the western parts of the subforum, but largely looking like fat lady sings time.
  12. NorthArlington101
    It's hardly going to be a perfect test but the EPS/Euro is almost totally out on the storm existing while the GFS/GEFS is still toying around with the idea -- not necessarily for snow, just for it's literal existence. Curious to see which suite takes the early lead in accuracy.
  13. NorthArlington101
    the GEFS still have the tendency to follow the OP very very closely. It's not necessarily a problem of course when it's right, but slightly annoying given it can't be showing the full range of outcomes.
  14. NorthArlington101
    Didn't realize the GGEM showed a real storm. Huh. Starts snowing in CHO 6 days out on this run.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, I assume that is what it's trying to get at with the real splotchy appearance on the p-type depiction. Verbatim, the snow map gives virtually everyone a T-inch.
  16. NorthArlington101
    So close. Too bad the surface is on fire (like 35-37)
  17. NorthArlington101
    Lot of pessimism in here! BWI: 12.1" DCA: 8.4" IAD: 14" RIC: 4.8" Tiebreaker SBY: 3.2"
  18. NorthArlington101
    Thanks for this - passed it onto my family just in case, and they were planning on going shopping this weekend as it turns out. Lots of spooky rumor mill stuff out there about this, hope the threat is just that, spooky rumor mill garbage.
  19. NorthArlington101
    eh - not really accurate, still shows up as a “storm” on some GEFS members, EPS control, what looks like an increasing (still not many) EPS members… don’t get me wrong, I know it’s not gonna snow next week. But I love the tracking, which definitely helps get me through less-than-snowy winters. It ain’t dead till it’s on your doorstep.
  20. NorthArlington101
    00z GFS with an interesting solution again. Remains trackable.
  21. NorthArlington101
    Decent odds of it being cold enough for snow in the western reaches of the area. As I said a couple days ago, think the period is worth a legitimate watch, if only to get the tracking training wheels on. Looking at the successful GEFS and few EPS (sorta including the control on the 9th) it's clear we are rooting for a wacky coastal solution. Tough to get but fun to track.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Nov. 6 threat is still sorta there on the 00z GFS. The wave might be crossing the international dateline soon. Heard that the NWS station in Hilo might send up a weather balloon for a special sounding just for us.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Verbatim, that would definitely stick. Doesn’t matter if it’s November if it’s going at 2” an hour. Would accumulate in July at that rate!
  24. NorthArlington101
    06z GFS for the 3rd 06z EURO for the 3rd 06z GFS for the 6th
  25. NorthArlington101
    Agreed. I somewhat jokingly called it a threat window yesterday, but there is persistent model support to give us something trackable (by early season standards) for next week. Heck, you could call it two windows based on the 06z, which has a storm coming through on the 3rd and the 6th.
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