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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Snow past DCA at 135, mix line is close but to the east. Heavy stuff into CHO
  2. NorthArlington101
    Snow has made it up past CHO by 132. Looks incoming.
  3. NorthArlington101
    maybe I shouldn't have made fun of the UKIE
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
    Another massive guidance shift... 12z 06z
  6. NorthArlington101
    UKIE has 6" for Atlanta and 12" for Douglas, GA (to the SE). I'll toss.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Wanted to add one more GEFS comment then I'll stop the image spam -- the mean improved drastically, but there is still considerable uncertainty among the ENS members. This might be the most conservative 1"% chance I've seen with a snow mean of ~5" in DCA.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Its out to 120 (which is as far as it goes) on the old Canadian government site. Looks nice but hard to tell too much with the one map it gives. https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
  9. NorthArlington101
    Massive shift. Hard to overstate. 12z 06z
  10. NorthArlington101
    Also -- no lows look poised to run right through Virginia.
  11. NorthArlington101
    GEFS still has a lot of spread but there are fewer members that are uber-suppressed, FWIW.
  12. NorthArlington101
  13. NorthArlington101
  14. NorthArlington101
    @Interstate, good call.
  15. NorthArlington101
    did you actually see the 06z? i don't think you want that to happen "if" that's the correct idea
  16. NorthArlington101
    I don't think I've ever seen the ICON spit out more than 12" of snow, anywhere
  17. NorthArlington101
    I bet you care about this one too, and it is… surprisingly not that notable?
  18. NorthArlington101
    every outcome under the sun possible on the p-type maps. I’ll let someone smarter properly analyze the goods but my rookie read was the GEFS looked more suppressed than previous runs. though of course noting this is still sorta early in the overall window
  19. NorthArlington101
    SE subforum already made a thread. Rookie mistake
  20. NorthArlington101
    If you want the full picture just to torture yourself -- here you go.
  21. NorthArlington101
    i get 7"in CHO while you flirt with grays... tough. snowtown.
  22. NorthArlington101
    raleigh-durham dream run right there. some snow able to make it to DCA jusssttt barely at 144.
  23. NorthArlington101
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_2000_North_American_blizzard TL;DR: surprise snowstorm
  24. NorthArlington101
    99% sure it’s gonna be the Arlington tornado for me… couplet formed right overhead, (perhaps unwisely) went to get a look at the damage that night. Probably the closest I’ll ever want to be to a damaging tornado in the suburbs. Two distant runners-up: 1) Feb. 11 southern slider snow in Charlottesville 2) Ida remnants in Charlottesville with tornado, flash flood warnings
  25. NorthArlington101
    There has to be a strong correlation between Jan 2000 references and mood downturns in this forum
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