NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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I’d really like to get under one of these storms. Looks fun.
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Any graupel? Some people on mPING are reporting a mix.
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kinda hot outside. 66 and mostly sunny
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2020 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not severe but nice and gusty with some loud T&L in Charlottesville. Fantastic storm for February -
kinda feel bad for Chicago here. Tough forecast.
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At Massanutten today to ski and see a little snow. Kinda hot outside!
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i'm gonna record a T. big win
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don’t bury her until she’s dead. If I see an hour or so of snow I’m satisfied.
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The frontogen maps really suggest there should be banding further north.... will it actually happen? Idk. I’m expecting a decent last second north jump either way.
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GEFS continues to give Charlottesville/Central VA a little tease. One can hope
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Good thread for the Central VA folks:
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Yeah, probably about a ~20-30 mile jump south. Would just be noise if some of us in Central VA didn't need every mile. it actually bumped the heavy stuff a hair more north, but it's a pretty strong cutoff. still close... I can hear DT honking from my house
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My confused emoji aside (you said this with barely any of it out) I would expect this to come north a bit more... confluence looks to have backed off and is weaker in general. We'll see.
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This is the upgraded National Blend of Models product, right?
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EURO continues to cave and goes more north/snowier in North Carolina.
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Also, FWIW, the 06z EPS was slightly interesting, only in the sense that I think a clear trend emerges. Most of the runs that have a storm consistent with what the other models are showing (a moderate snowstorm for the Carolinas) do get snow into at least the central part of our subforum, if not slightly further north. Is it a lot of snow? No. But if the snowier Carolina solutions should be taken seriously, it shows there is an opening for some flakes.
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if you need me, I'll be hugging the GEFS
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EURO caved and shows snow for the Carolinas now. Decent jog north that puts it better in line with other guidance.
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I already regret the above post. Either way... I’m officially beyond interested as a joke. Couple more north bumps and I’ve got my second best event of the year. If it was us in the jackpot zone, we’d be sweating these north trends a little bit.
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screw it, I’m going full Snowchaser. These are totally different storms but I can’t help notice the similarities here.
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if this Friday storm comes back I should be made a moderator. or something
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Since you're busting out the SREFS... pretty big jump northward. 21z: 15z
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not good enough for any of us, but a significant step in the right direction.
