NorthArlington101

51? That’s super fast. Congrats.

Set to go on a vacation from the 27th-4th. Snowstorm in that timeframe - book it.

A nice popcorn sunset… chilly day here, but fine once you got moving. Good weather for a de-stressing from finals walk.

Gonna have to start excluding traces from my signature. Guessing I've been more generous with them this year because we've been at quite the pace (though those late November days were fairly wintry)

Wants to give me a half inch down here in Charlottesville? I'll take it. Beggars ain't choosers.

I'll back up: I very likely overreacted in this case. Genuine apologies, intent is obviously tough to measure online and with never having met you guys IRL (or over Zoom) we are all still mostly just names and profile pictures on a message board. I'm just sensitive to the issue of driving passionate posters off the board, especially when they are young and wanting to learn and when we have lost great posters over the years. Again, as someone who has been in the spot of being young and nervous not too long ago, you guys have more power and sway when you think you do. Those brave enough to try and contribute should generally be rewarded unless their behavior is in bad faith. When the (sometimes deserved) criticism comes down, just be mindful that it can be taken to heart. That's the reason I care and I don't see it as for no reason, though that thread isn't the place and that was probably not the time.

I'm probably only making it worse, so I'll bounce out of this discussion, but I'd like to think you can figure out where I'm coming from. Don't think I'm that cryptic. Totally agreed.

if all we're talking about is whether a thread should've been made Saturday - totally agree. it was too early. if we are complaining still.... I've got an issue with it. I just don't want to pick on one person primarily because they are young, enthusiastic, and want to get off on a good start by making a successful thread (which this wasn't -- wrong horse to bet on!). that was (and still is) me. I'm guessing the lesson has been learned without piling on.

Not this one, that’s for sure lol. But a couple weeks ago in banter we were pouring over the Jan 2016 threads. The consensus and scale there was a totally different scenario, but if we believed in jinxes too hard we would’ve had like 5 days of fun model runs and disco buried in the LR thread. That kinda sucks.

c’mon guys - lay off a bit. threads are good for archival purposes and keeping our discussions organized. it’s not like making a thread is a major use of time and resources. if we all truly knew this would be nothing of course there wouldn’t be a thread - but this seemed like a potential 1-3”/T-2 when it was made.

RGEM got drier and shifted southward.

12z EURO denies the existence of a storm entirely. Almost too much of an outlier for me to be inclined to believe it, but I'm sure it'll be right this time. edit: it looked like it did on the 1hr maps - on the 6hr maps it seems to suggest some mood flakes. woo.

UKIE definitely did not cave but manages to drop T-1" through the most populated areas of the subforum so many folks might be happy with it anyway.

Canadian holds steady -- really a slight improvement even. Wetter across the board. 12z 00z

eh, I'm curious to see how long it holds steady. Shrunk the bullseye and generally lowered totals across the board (bad) but maintains the same general look.

yep - it and its cousin, the HDRPS. They are fun to look at but clearly a little quirky.

NAM is coming in much more amped. Should be a better run. A significant step in the right direction from the nothingburger it tossed out at 06z.

Thanks Ravens!

Nice GIF/analysis from Webb. Wouldn’t mind it trending a *little* more south.

00z NAM (yes, I know) is also looking too weak and suppressed to amount to much.

Suppressed?

Of course I don’t actually believe it has impact on the weather. But it also does.